Mon, Nov 10, 2014·TD Garden, Boston
New Jersey Devils 2, Boston Bruins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 15 | 19 | 014 | 228 |
| BOS | 211 | 29 | 03 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:26NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Michael Cammalleri, Andy Greene · Slap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 10:21BOSCarl SoderbergPPAssists: Reilly Smith, Patrice Bergeron · Snap, 0.23 xG1–1
- P1 17:16BOSPatrice BergeronUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 13:00NJDJaromir JagrAssists: Travis Zajac, Michael Cammalleri · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
- P2 18:01BOSSeth GriffithGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.13 xG2–3
- P2 19:21BOSReilly SmithAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 6:43BOSReilly Smith: Embellishment2 min
- P1 6:43NJDMichael Cammalleri: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:00NJDAdam Larsson: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 16:39NJDDamon Severson: Interference2 min
- P3 16:39BOSBrad Marchand: Embellishment2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Campbell won the faceoff against Gionta
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestJagr – Cammalleri – Zajac14:12
xG 0.91–0.55 (62%)attempts 21–16goals 2–2
- Elias – Ryder – Ruutu9:43
xG 0.25–0.13 (66%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Tootoo – Josefson – Brunner4:10
xG 0.15–0.07 (68%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Elias – Ryder – Brunner3:13
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGelinas – Larsson9:33
xG 0.38–0.21 (65%)attempts 12–6goals 1–1
- Greene – Severson17:15
xG 0.54–0.45 (55%)attempts 15–18goals 1–0
- Zidlicky – Gelinas4:55
xG 0.10–0.05 (67%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Soderberg – Fraser10:51
xG 0.28–0.21 (57%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Kelly – Lucic – Griffith9:47
xG 0.15–0.23 (39%)attempts 5–11goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith11:42
xG 0.39–0.55 (42%)attempts 11–13goals 2–1
- Gagne – Campbell – Paille12:10
xG 0.07–0.37 (16%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcQuaid – Krug4:08
xG 0.22–0.08 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- McQuaid – Morrow15:22
xG 0.18–0.32 (36%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Seidenberg – Hamilton17:24
xG 0.58–0.76 (43%)attempts 20–18goals 2–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).