Thu, Nov 13, 2014·Centre Bell, Montreal
Boston Bruins 1, Montréal Canadiens 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 111 | 05 | 06 | 122 |
| MTL | 06 | 316 | 212 | 534 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:04BOSDougie HamiltonPPAssists: Loui Eriksson · Slap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 2:31MTLDale WeiseUnassisted · Wrist, 0.37 xG1–1
- P2 13:00MTLLars EllerGWGAssists: Brendan Gallagher · Backhand, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 14:57MTLMax PaciorettyAssists: Dale Weise, Mike Weaver · Snap, 0.10 xG1–3
- P3 5:09MTLMax PaciorettyAssists: David Desharnais · Tip-in, 0.18 xG1–4
- P3 14:06MTLJiri SekacPPAssists: Nathan Beaulieu, Lars Eller · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–5
Penalties (15)
- P1 2:52MTLDale Weise: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:52BOSGregory Campbell: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:42BOSBrad Marchand: Holding2 min
- P1 16:00MTLPA Parenteau: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 2:31BOSDennis Seidenberg: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
- P2 3:49BOSAdam McQuaid: Interference2 min
- P2 6:26BOSDougie Hamilton: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:05BOSMatt Fraser: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:05MTLNathan Beaulieu: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:44BOSGregory Campbell: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:20MTLP.K. Subban: Cross checking2 min
- P3 7:20MTLMax Pacioretty: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:40BOSSimon Gagne: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P3 17:40BOSAdam McQuaid: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:40MTLDale Weise: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Plekanec
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Soderberg – Fraser6:38
xG 0.20–0.10 (66%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Gagne – Campbell – Paille7:07
xG 0.22–0.23 (50%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Campbell – Lucic – Griffith2:09
xG 0.03–0.07 (29%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Kelly – Lucic – Griffith8:56
xG 0.20–0.27 (43%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcQuaid – Morrow11:36
xG 0.50–0.32 (61%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Trotman – Krug12:51
xG 0.30–0.24 (56%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Morrow2:31
xG 0.01–0.02 (24%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestPlekanec – Gallagher – Galchenyuk10:10
xG 0.40–0.09 (81%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Prust – Eller – Sekac9:06
xG 0.27–0.11 (71%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Parenteau – Desharnais – Pacioretty10:11
xG 0.56–0.45 (55%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMarkov – Subban14:02
xG 0.62–0.36 (63%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
- Gonchar – Emelin8:06
xG 0.39–0.16 (71%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Weaver – Emelin5:49
xG 0.19–0.15 (56%)attempts 2–7goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).