Sat, Nov 15, 2014·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
New York Rangers 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 214 | 06 | 07 | 04 | 1 | 231 |
| PIT | 114 | 115 | 06 | 03 | 2 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:12PITBlake ComeauAssists: Patric Hornqvist, Evgeni Malkin · Snap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 14:27NYRLee StempniakAssists: Dan Girardi, Carl Hagelin · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P1 16:24NYRMartin St. LouisPPAssists: Derick Brassard, Rick Nash · Snap, 0.30 xG2–1
- P2 8:09PITEvgeni MalkinAssists: Nick Spaling · Snap, 0.08 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. PIT Evgeni Malkin stopped
- 2. NYR Derek Stepan scored
- 3. PIT Sidney Crosby scored
- 4. NYR Mats Zuccarello stopped
- 5. PIT Kris Letang stopped
- 6. NYR Dan Boyle stopped
- 7. PIT Brandon Sutter scored
- 8. NYR Rick Nash stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 9:50PITPaul Martin: Cross checking2 min
- P1 15:06PITSteve Downie: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 19:43PITChristian Ehrhoff: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:07NYRDan Girardi: Holding2 min
- P3 8:45NYRJohn Moore: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:47PITEvgeni Malkin: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:47NYRMarc Staal: Roughing2 min
- OT 2:49PITKris Letang: Slashing2 min
- OT 2:49NYRCarl Hagelin: Slashing2 min
- OT 3:18PITRob Scuderi: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Moore won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- Moore – Glass – Fast7:24
xG 0.09–0.19 (32%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Stempniak – Hagelin – Hayes9:23
xG 0.35–0.48 (42%)attempts 4–14goals 1–0
- Stepan – Kreider – Zuccarello10:40
xG 0.31–0.48 (39%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
- St. Louis – Nash – Brassard10:00
xG 0.42–0.65 (39%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKlein – Hunwick8:44
xG 0.50–0.19 (73%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Klein – Staal4:19
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Boyle – Moore12:18
xG 0.29–0.37 (43%)attempts 9–16goals 0–1
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestDupuis – Kunitz – Crosby13:36
xG 0.95–0.44 (68%)attempts 17–6goals 0–1
- Malkin – Hornqvist – Spaling7:38
xG 0.41–0.11 (79%)attempts 11–2goals 1–0
- Malkin – Comeau – Hornqvist2:34
xG 0.27–0.19 (59%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Downie – Sutter – Bennett7:48
xG 0.17–0.09 (66%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEhrhoff – Bortuzzo13:40
xG 0.93–0.13 (88%)attempts 23–6goals 2–0
- Martin – Letang14:09
xG 0.79–0.61 (56%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Despres14:40
xG 0.21–0.64 (25%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).