Sat, Nov 15, 2014·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
San Jose Sharks 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 011 | 110 | 016 | 137 |
| CBJ | 110 | 18 | 010 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:17CBJDavid SavardAssists: Adam Cracknell, Artem Anisimov · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 16:39CBJCam AtkinsonPPGWGAssists: Jack Johnson, Boone Jenner · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–2
- P2 19:05SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Joe Thornton, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 19:39SJSBrent Burns: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:07SJSAndrew Desjardins: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 11:17CBJScott Hartnell: High sticking2 min
- P2 15:14SJSMirco Mueller: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 15:00CBJAlexander Wennberg: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Marleau
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestSheppard – Wingels – Hertl3:12
xG 0.51–0.02 (97%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Marleau – Couture – Nieto11:16
xG 0.63–0.28 (69%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Burish – Kennedy – Desjardins6:31
xG 0.38–0.12 (76%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Hertl8:16
xG 0.29–0.04 (89%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Braun13:55
xG 1.15–0.06 (95%)attempts 22–3goals 1–0
- Burns – Mueller13:25
xG 0.61–0.26 (70%)attempts 17–8goals 0–0
- Hannan – Demers12:08
xG 0.59–0.27 (69%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Cracknell – Anisimov – Wennberg11:21
xG 0.07–0.09 (42%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Foligno – Johansen – Gibbons10:20
xG 0.28–0.46 (38%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Atkinson – Jenner11:58
xG 0.41–0.78 (34%)attempts 8–17goals 0–0
- Boll – Tropp – Chaput6:18
xG 0.06–0.48 (12%)attempts 1–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Leopold – Prout2:04
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Wisniewski – Erixon10:44
xG 0.39–0.73 (35%)attempts 13–15goals 0–0
- Leopold – Savard14:01
xG 0.15–0.59 (20%)attempts 5–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).