Wed, Nov 19, 2014·Rexall Place, Edmonton
Vancouver Canucks 5, Edmonton Oilers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 110 | 315 | 16 | 531 |
| EDM | 04 | 315 | 113 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:41VANJannik HansenSHAssists: Shawn Matthias · Snap, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 2:02VANRadim VrbataPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.10 xG2–0
- P2 4:43EDMSteven PinizzottoUnassisted · Snap, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 9:39VANChris HigginsAssists: Nick Bonino · Snap, 0.03 xG3–1
- P2 11:32EDMTeddy PurcellPPAssists: Mark Arcobello · Slap, 0.06 xG3–2
- P2 11:43EDMBoyd GordonAssists: Matt Hendricks, Steven Pinizzotto · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–3
- P2 17:10VANRadim VrbataPPAssists: Yannick Weber, Daniel Sedin · Snap, 0.09 xG4–3
- P3 6:21EDMAndrew FerenceAssists: Justin Schultz, Taylor Hall · Slap, 0.02 xG4–4
- P3 11:32VANYannick WeberGWGAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.23 xG5–4
Penalties (14)
- P1 2:27VANDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:27EDMSteven Pinizzotto: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:40EDMNikita Nikitin: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:01EDMBoyd Gordon: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 14:46VANKevin Bieksa: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:46EDMAndrew Ference: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:46VANKevin Bieksa: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 1:59EDMSteven Pinizzotto: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 11:30VANAlexandre Burrows: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 15:48EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 2:33VANDerek Dorsett: Slashing2 min
- P3 3:35VANAlexandre Burrows: High sticking2 min
- P3 9:07VANRyan Stanton: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:43EDMTaylor Hall: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nugent-Hopkins won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Burrows – Bonino8:36
xG 0.80–0.11 (88%)attempts 15–6goals 1–2
- Sedin – Sedin – Vrbata11:27
xG 0.48–0.34 (59%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Hansen – Dorsett – Horvat5:57
xG 0.08–0.33 (19%)attempts 2–7goals 0–1
- Richardson – Matthias – Kassian12:06
xG 0.38–0.80 (32%)attempts 12–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Weber11:49
xG 0.72–0.51 (59%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
- Bieksa – Stanton11:17
xG 0.62–0.47 (57%)attempts 12–12goals 1–2
- Edler – Tanev14:03
xG 0.22–0.26 (46%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestPouliot – Purcell – Draisaitl7:41
xG 0.56–0.29 (66%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Hendricks – Gordon – Pinizzotto6:31
xG 0.66–0.41 (62%)attempts 10–6goals 2–2
- Eberle – Hall – Nugent-Hopkins12:47
xG 0.20–0.32 (38%)attempts 10–16goals 1–0
- Perron – Arcobello – Yakupov7:37
xG 0.00–0.61 (0%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAulie – Schultz9:19
xG 0.79–0.39 (67%)attempts 14–11goals 1–1
- Nikitin – Schultz2:30
xG 0.22–0.08 (73%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Nikitin – Petry3:02
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).