Fri, Nov 21, 2014·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Boston Bruins 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 09 | 012 | 313 | 07 | 1 | 441 |
| CBJ | 211 | 07 | 19 | 01 | 0 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:52CBJRyan JohansenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 11:30CBJNick FolignoAssists: Jordan Leopold, Ryan Johansen · Deflected, 0.18 xG0–2
- P3 1:28BOSDennis SeidenbergAssists: Matt Bartkowski, Chris Kelly · Slap, 0.01 xG1–2
- P3 9:33BOSMatt FraserAssists: Matt Bartkowski, Patrice Bergeron · Deflected, 0.07 xG2–2
- P3 11:32BOSDaniel PailleAssists: Carl Soderberg · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–2
- P3 12:47CBJJack JohnsonAssists: Ryan Johansen, Nick Foligno · Snap, 0.05 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Ryan Johansen stopped
- 2. BOS Reilly Smith stopped
- 3. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 4. BOS Seth Griffith stopped
- 5. CBJ Artem Anisimov stopped
- 6. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 7. CBJ Boone Jenner stopped
- 8. BOS Carl Soderberg stopped
- 9. CBJ Nick Foligno stopped
- 10. BOS Torey Krug stopped
- 11. CBJ Alexander Wennberg stopped
- 12. BOS Loui Eriksson stopped
- 13. CBJ Matt Calvert stopped
- 14. BOS Alex Khokhlachev scored
Penalties (6)
- P2 10:34BOSMatt Bartkowski: Interference2 min
- P2 18:35CBJRyan Johansen: Holding2 min
- P3 4:31BOSMatt Bartkowski: Slashing2 min
- OT 5:00BOSMilan Lucic: Roughing2 min
- OT 5:00BOSMilan Lucic: Game misconduct10 min
- OT 5:00CBJDalton Prout: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Smith – Fraser9:47
xG 0.50–0.38 (57%)attempts 17–9goals 1–1
- Bergeron – Lucic – Smith2:07
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Gagne – Campbell – Paille11:51
xG 0.35–0.35 (50%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Lucic – Khokhlachev – Griffith8:15
xG 0.17–0.32 (34%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBartkowski – Miller10:27
xG 0.63–0.14 (82%)attempts 16–6goals 1–1
- Bartkowski – Krug3:39
xG 0.15–0.01 (95%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Miller – Morrow2:34
xG 0.12–0.05 (69%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Johansen – Jenner12:24
xG 0.96–0.30 (76%)attempts 12–13goals 3–1
- Hartnell – Anisimov – Atkinson11:58
xG 0.51–0.45 (53%)attempts 15–17goals 0–1
- Skille – Calvert – Wennberg11:27
xG 0.19–0.35 (36%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Cracknell – Boll – Gibbons7:32
xG 0.13–0.38 (26%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Prout18:11
xG 0.59–0.49 (55%)attempts 19–19goals 1–1
- Leopold – Savard17:30
xG 0.83–0.75 (52%)attempts 16–23goals 1–0
- Wisniewski – Connauton13:35
xG 0.44–0.39 (53%)attempts 11–12goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).