Sat, Nov 22, 2014·TD Garden, Boston
Montréal Canadiens 2, Boston Bruins 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 16 | 19 | 08 | 223 |
| BOS | 013 | 07 | 013 | 033 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:37MTLAndrei MarkovPPGWGAssists: Brendan Gallagher, Tomas Plekanec · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
- P2 8:59MTLTomas PlekanecAssists: Brendan Gallagher, Alex Galchenyuk · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:15MTLJiri Sekac: Boarding2 min
- P1 9:54BOSTorey Krug: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 13:17BOSGregory Campbell: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:17MTLDale Weise: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:08BOSPatrice Bergeron: Delaying game smothering puck2 min
- P3 3:01MTLAndrei Markov: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:46BOSPatrice Bergeron: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:46BOSTorey Krug: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:46MTLAlex Galchenyuk: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Plekanec won the faceoff against Soderberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestPrust – Eller – Sekac7:42
xG 0.36–0.19 (65%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Parenteau – Desharnais – Pacioretty12:05
xG 0.28–0.16 (63%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Plekanec – Gallagher – Galchenyuk9:15
xG 0.33–0.31 (52%)attempts 6–13goals 1–0
- Prust – Eller – Weise2:09
xG 0.07–0.12 (38%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Weaver – Emelin3:20
xG 0.08–0.06 (57%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Allen – Weaver4:41
xG 0.11–0.19 (38%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Allen – Gilbert7:05
xG 0.01–0.11 (6%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Soderberg – Lucic12:32
xG 0.57–0.28 (67%)attempts 21–5goals 0–1
- Gagne – Campbell – Paille7:12
xG 0.55–0.36 (60%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Gagne – Bergeron – Smith2:22
xG 0.13–0.02 (87%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Fraser – Khokhlachev – Lindblad4:31
xG 0.11–0.01 (89%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBartkowski – Miller15:42
xG 0.41–0.17 (71%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Seidenberg – Krug12:26
xG 0.53–0.29 (64%)attempts 16–10goals 0–1
- Hamilton – Morrow11:19
xG 0.32–0.28 (54%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).