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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 28, 2014·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Ottawa Senators 2, Florida Panthers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 89% of the time.

FLA winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Michalek, saved by Montoya
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 2:43Shot by Thornton, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 5:04Goal by Neil (Condra, Legwand)+17 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Olsen, Pirri, Bjugstad, Huberdeau · OTT Legwand, Neil, Gryba, Condra, Wiercioch

  6. P1 5:33Shot by Hayes, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 5:49Shot by Trocheck, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 5:51Goal by Olsen (Trocheck)+17 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Fleischmann, Hayes, Olsen, Gudbranson, Trocheck · OTT Phillips, Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman

  9. P1 6:15Shot by Lazar, saved by Montoya
  10. P1 6:23Shot by Stone, saved by Montoya
  11. P1 6:46Shot by Condra, saved by Montoya
  12. P1 7:39Shot by Olsen, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 7:31Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 8:38Shot by Trocheck, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 9:25Shot by Turris, saved by Montoya
  16. P1 9:31Shot by MacArthur, saved by Montoya
  17. P1 10:55Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Montoya
  18. P1 11:46Shot by Karlsson, saved by Montoya
  19. P1 11:57Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 12:58Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 13:06Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 17:11Shot by Ryan, saved by Montoya
  23. P1 17:35Phillips: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, Kulikov, Pirri, Bjugstad, Huberdeau · OTT Phillips, Michalek, Karlsson, Stone, Lazar

  24. P1 17:56Shot by Campbell, saved by Anderson5v4
  25. P1 0:00Bergenheim: Hooking (2 min)4v6

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, Fleischmann, Bergenheim, Olsen, Trocheck · OTT Legwand, MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Cowen, Ceci

  26. P1 0:00Shot by Turris, saved by Montoya4v6
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 2:01Shot by Trocheck, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 2:09Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 2:41Goal by Ceci (Neil)+19 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Fleischmann, Hayes, Trocheck, Ekblad · OTT Legwand, Neil, Condra, Cowen, Ceci

  32. P2 3:18Shot by Condra, saved by Montoya
  33. P2 4:32Shot by Barkov, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 5:44Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 5:46Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 6:50Shot by Hoffman, saved by Montoya
  37. P2 8:29Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 8:30Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 9:01Shot by Neil, saved by Montoya
  40. P2 9:18Shot by Neil, saved by Montoya
  41. P2 9:55Shot by Phillips, saved by Montoya
  42. P2 10:05Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 10:08Neil: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, Thornton, MacKenzie, Kopecky, Kulikov · OTT Phillips, Legwand, Neil, Condra, Karlsson

  44. P2 10:08Thornton: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, Thornton, MacKenzie, Kopecky, Kulikov · OTT Phillips, Legwand, Neil, Condra, Karlsson

  45. P2 10:32Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 11:15Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 11:39Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 13:06Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 13:14Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 13:23Shot by Campbell, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 13:54Shot by MacArthur, saved by Montoya
  52. P2 15:05Shot by Olsen, saved by Anderson
  53. P2 16:33Shot by Ceci, saved by Montoya
  54. P2 17:57Shot by Turris, saved by Montoya
  55. P2 18:33Shot by Olsen, saved by Anderson
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:25Shot by Mitchell, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 0:34Goal by Bergenheim (Boyes, Barkov)+24 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, Boyes, Bergenheim, Kulikov, Barkov · OTT Phillips, MacArthur, Turris, Karlsson, Chiasson

  60. P3 1:28Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 1:54Shot by Trocheck, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 1:54Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Fleischmann, Hayes, Olsen, Gudbranson, Trocheck · OTT Michalek, Ryan, Smith, Cowen, Ceci

  63. P3 1:54Hayes: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Fleischmann, Hayes, Olsen, Gudbranson, Trocheck · OTT Michalek, Ryan, Smith, Cowen, Ceci

  64. P3 2:14Shot by Karlsson, saved by Montoya4v4
  65. P3 3:16Shot by Campbell, saved by Anderson4v4
  66. P3 3:19Shot by Ekblad, saved by Anderson4v4
  67. P3 3:35Shot by Turris, saved by Montoya4v4
  68. P3 3:51Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Anderson4v4
  69. P3 4:25Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 4:35Shot by Trocheck, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 5:37Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 7:31Goal by Hayes (Trocheck, Fleischmann)+31 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Fleischmann, Hayes, Olsen, Gudbranson, Trocheck · OTT MacArthur, Turris, Karlsson, Chiasson, Cowen

  73. P3 8:26Shot by Barkov, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 9:23Shot by Mitchell, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 10:28Shot by Hoffman, saved by Montoya
  76. P3 11:55Shot by Mitchell, saved by Anderson
  77. P3 12:06Bergenheim: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, Boyes, Bergenheim, Kulikov, Barkov · OTT Michalek, Smith, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Lazar

  78. P3 13:17Wiercioch: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Mitchell, MacKenzie, Kopecky, Kulikov · OTT Michalek, Smith, Wiercioch, Stone, Ceci

  79. P3 13:43Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson4v4
  80. P3 14:21Shot by Campbell, saved by Anderson5v4
  81. P3 14:38Shot by Ekblad, saved by Anderson5v4
  82. P3 14:44Shot by Legwand, saved by Montoya5v4
  83. P3 15:07Shot by Hayes, saved by Anderson5v4
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final