Mon, Dec 1, 2014·Honda Center, Anaheim
Boston Bruins 2, Anaheim Ducks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 013 | 115 | 16 | 234 |
| ANA | 07 | 211 | 110 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 10:20BOSBrad MarchandAssists: David Pastrnak, Zach Trotman · Wrist, 0.32 xG1–0
- P2 11:17ANASami VatanenAssists: Patrick Maroon · Wrist, 0.35 xG1–1
- P2 19:38ANADevante Smith-PellyAssists: Cam Fowler, Jakob Silfverberg · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–2
- P3 4:43ANAMatt BeleskeyGWGAssists: Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.00 xG1–3
- P3 10:20BOSSimon GagneAssists: Daniel Paille, Dougie Hamilton · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:48BOSChris Kelly: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:09ANAHampus Lindholm: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 15:04ANARyan Kesler: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:12BOSMatt Fraser: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:13ANAAndrew Cogliano: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:37BOSJoe Morrow: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Smith-Pelly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak10:09
xG 0.45–0.25 (64%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Gagne – Campbell – Paille10:06
xG 0.42–0.24 (64%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Kelly – Smith – Fraser7:36
xG 0.36–0.58 (38%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Soderberg – Lucic11:55
xG 0.15–1.57 (9%)attempts 12–18goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestBartkowski – Krug2:42
xG 0.38–0.20 (66%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
- Morrow – Krug11:13
xG 0.79–0.75 (51%)attempts 19–11goals 0–0
- Bartkowski – Trotman10:31
xG 0.25–0.45 (36%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Beleskey11:03
xG 0.56–0.13 (82%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Kesler – Bourque – Palmieri10:08
xG 1.02–0.74 (58%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- Jackman – Thompson – Maroon5:48
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Cogliano – Silfverberg – Smith-Pelly8:59
xG 0.24–0.77 (23%)attempts 7–10goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestClark – Lindholm9:12
xG 0.59–0.19 (75%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Brewer – Vatanen12:22
xG 0.62–0.25 (72%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
- Brewer – Manson2:06
xG 0.03–0.07 (29%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).