Tue, Dec 2, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Boston Bruins 0, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 08 | 011 | 012 | 031 |
| LAK | 116 | 013 | 16 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:20LAKTanner PearsonGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Brayden McNabb · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P3 19:10LAKTyler ToffoliENAssists: Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.51 xG0–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 9:33BOSKevan Miller: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:08BOSPatrice Bergeron: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 19:56LAKJordan Nolan: Embellishment2 min
- P1 19:56BOSMilan Lucic: Cross checking2 min
- P2 5:34BOSCarl Soderberg: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestGagne – Campbell – Paille8:18
xG 0.65–0.42 (61%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
- Soderberg – Lucic – Fraser2:39
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith5:15
xG 0.23–0.06 (80%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Kelly – Smith – Fraser6:33
xG 0.23–0.16 (59%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Hamilton12:21
xG 1.29–0.80 (62%)attempts 17–18goals 0–1
- Trotman – Krug13:24
xG 0.69–0.51 (58%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
- Bartkowski – Hamilton4:21
xG 0.13–0.03 (82%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Kopitar – Pearson12:46
xG 0.61–0.38 (62%)attempts 15–15goals 1–0
- Lewis – Clifford – Nolan9:01
xG 0.36–0.46 (44%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Williams – Stoll – Brown12:13
xG 0.26–0.49 (35%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Richards – King – Toffoli9:35
xG 0.11–0.35 (24%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – McNabb13:04
xG 0.29–0.19 (61%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Regehr – Martinez14:27
xG 0.67–0.69 (49%)attempts 13–15goals 0–0
- Doughty – McNabb2:10
xG 0.02–0.07 (18%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).