Sat, Dec 20, 2014·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 015 | 114 | 19 | 03 | 1 | 241 |
| CBJ | 13 | 09 | 15 | 02 | 2 | 319 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:24CBJJack SkilleAssists: Ryan Johansen, Fedor Tyutin · Tip-in, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 7:27CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Michal Rozsival · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P3 1:55CBJKevin ConnautonAssists: David Savard, Matt Calvert · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 8:49CHIBen SmithAssists: Marcus Kruger, Patrick Kane · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. CBJ Ryan Johansen stopped
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 5. CBJ Nick Foligno stopped
- 6. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 7. CBJ Matt Calvert stopped
- 8. CHI Brad Richards stopped
- 9. CBJ Jeremy Morin scored
- 10. CHI Andrew Shaw scored
- 11. CBJ Kevin Connauton stopped
- 12. CHI Marian Hossa stopped
- 13. CBJ Brandon Dubinsky stopped
- 14. CHI Kris Versteeg stopped
- 15. CBJ Alexander Wennberg stopped
- 16. CHI Brandon Saad stopped
- 17. CBJ Jack Johnson scored
- 18. CHI Bryan Bickell stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 0:30CBJRyan Johansen: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:43CHIKris Versteeg: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:35CBJJack Johnson: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:44CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:44CHIJonathan Toews: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:44CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:44CHIJonathan Toews: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:55CHIBrad Richards: High sticking2 min
- P3 12:11CBJAlexander Wennberg: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:22CBJJeremy Morin: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Johansen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Toews – Saad11:18
xG 0.73–0.15 (83%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Richards – Versteeg – Kane10:55
xG 0.46–0.03 (93%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Sharp – Bickell – Shaw9:49
xG 0.42–0.23 (64%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
- Carcillo – Smith – Kruger4:34
xG 0.25–0.10 (72%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook14:43
xG 1.07–0.27 (80%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Erixon11:00
xG 0.62–0.25 (71%)attempts 15–8goals 2–1
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson17:04
xG 0.49–0.29 (63%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Skille – Tropp – Wennberg8:38
xG 0.26–0.39 (40%)attempts 5–11goals 0–1
- Cracknell – Boll – Chaput4:37
xG 0.00–0.31 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Foligno – Morin – Johansen12:11
xG 0.31–0.74 (30%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson10:50
xG 0.18–0.61 (22%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Tyutin – Prout14:46
xG 0.42–0.76 (36%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Wisniewski – Connauton12:58
xG 0.28–0.78 (26%)attempts 7–16goals 0–2
- Johnson – Savard15:42
xG 0.25–0.89 (22%)attempts 7–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).