Tue, Dec 23, 2014·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 5, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 315 | 17 | 14 | 526 |
| CHI | 07 | 120 | 012 | 139 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:04WPGMathieu PerreaultAssists: Michael Frolik, Mark Scheifele · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 13:18WPGBryan LittleGWGAssists: Andrew Ladd, Blake Wheeler · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P1 15:30WPGAnthony PelusoAssists: Jim Slater, Chris Thorburn · Wrist, 0.34 xG3–0
- P2 8:16WPGMathieu PerreaultPPAssists: Dustin Byfuglien, Andrew Ladd · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–0
- P2 12:05CHIMarian HossaAssists: Brandon Saad · Snap, 0.09 xG4–1
- P3 15:17WPGBlake WheelerENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.55 xG5–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 9:21CHIDaniel Carcillo: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:21WPGJay Harrison: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:10CHIBrent Seabrook: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 7:43CHIKris Versteeg: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 10:33WPGBlake Wheeler: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:22WPGChris Thorburn: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Little won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestThorburn – Slater – Peluso5:21
xG 0.43–0.11 (80%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Frolik – Perreault – Scheifele13:36
xG 0.63–0.45 (58%)attempts 10–17goals 1–0
- Ladd – Wheeler – Little14:08
xG 0.23–0.45 (34%)attempts 14–17goals 1–0
- Halischuk – Kane – Lowry13:35
xG 0.22–0.83 (21%)attempts 11–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestByfuglien – Clitsome2:12
xG 0.45–0.07 (87%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Pardy – Postma10:00
xG 0.35–0.24 (60%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Harrison – Pardy2:03
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSharp – Versteeg – Kane12:38
xG 0.50–0.22 (69%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Bickell – Kruger – Shaw2:15
xG 0.12–0.02 (84%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Smith – Kruger – Nordstrom5:30
xG 0.27–0.24 (53%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
- Carcillo – Bickell – Shaw4:37
xG 0.15–0.16 (49%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Seabrook2:28
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Rundblad2:20
xG 0.08–0.01 (84%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook15:56
xG 0.47–0.49 (49%)attempts 22–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).