Thu, Jan 1, 2015·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Los Angeles Kings 3, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 016 | 114 | 210 | 340 |
| VAN | 18 | 12 | 06 | 216 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:18VANAlexandre BurrowsPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Radim Vrbata · Wrist, 0.26 xG0–1
- P2 3:39VANRadim VrbataAssists: Chris Higgins, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.11 xG0–2
- P2 14:39LAKDwight KingAssists: Mike Richards · Wrist, 0.33 xG1–2
- P3 17:53LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–2
- P3 18:46LAKJarret StollGWGAssists: Tanner Pearson, Matt Greene · Slap, 0.03 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:20VANBrad Richardson: Cross checking2 min
- P1 10:58LAKDustin Brown: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 1:28VANRyan Stanton: Holding2 min
- P2 6:22VANAlexandre Burrows: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:02VANRyan Stanton: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestRichards – King – Clifford8:30
xG 1.05–0.29 (79%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Carter – Toffoli – Pearson9:34
xG 0.76–0.07 (92%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Stoll – Brown – Lewis8:47
xG 0.63–0.03 (95%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Williams – Kopitar11:21
xG 0.74–0.53 (58%)attempts 17–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty19:17
xG 1.49–0.16 (90%)attempts 24–12goals 1–0
- Schultz – McBain11:37
xG 0.71–0.34 (68%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Greene – Martinez11:58
xG 0.73–0.42 (63%)attempts 17–6goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Higgins – Hansen – Bonino11:14
xG 0.24–0.37 (39%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Higgins – Bonino – Vey2:03
xG 0.03–0.19 (14%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Richardson – Matthias – Vey7:59
xG 0.11–0.42 (20%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Vrbata13:46
xG 0.23–0.74 (24%)attempts 9–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Edler – Tanev14:31
xG 0.39–0.72 (35%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
- Weber – Sbisa12:30
xG 0.17–0.74 (18%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Stanton17:03
xG 0.21–1.34 (13%)attempts 8–25goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).