Sun, Jan 4, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Boston Bruins 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 04 | 112 | 02 | 02 | 0 | 120 |
| CAR | 114 | 011 | 09 | 02 | 1 | 236 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:26CARPatrick DwyerAssists: Jay McClement, Brad Malone · Wrist, 0.20 xG0–1
- P2 14:35BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Brad Marchand, Dougie Hamilton · Slap, 0.08 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. CAR Chris Terry stopped
- 2. BOS Reilly Smith stopped
- 3. CAR Jeff Skinner stopped
- 4. BOS Torey Krug stopped
- 5. CAR Eric Staal scored
- 6. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:32BOSZdeno Chara: Hooking2 min
- P1 6:07CARBrad Malone: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:07BOSGregory Campbell: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:43CARRon Hainsey: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:32BOSTuukka Rask: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- OT 3:57BOSReilly Smith: Holding2 min
- OT 3:57CARVictor Rask: Embellishment2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Rask
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCampbell – Paille – Cunningham4:36
xG 0.30–0.19 (61%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Kelly – Eriksson – Soderberg12:39
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith3:03
xG 0.04–0.01 (75%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Griffith9:07
xG 0.18–0.18 (51%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Hamilton18:12
xG 1.17–0.66 (64%)attempts 21–17goals 1–0
- Seidenberg – McQuaid16:23
xG 0.42–0.32 (56%)attempts 13–18goals 0–0
- Miller – Krug13:51
xG 0.27–0.64 (30%)attempts 8–15goals 0–0
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- bestMcClement – Dwyer – Malone7:01
xG 0.76–0.11 (88%)attempts 12–5goals 1–1
- Staal – Staal – Lindholm13:46
xG 0.58–0.55 (51%)attempts 16–15goals 0–0
- Terry – Nash – Skinner10:24
xG 0.17–0.18 (48%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Gerbe – Tlusty – Rask13:27
xG 0.43–0.65 (40%)attempts 17–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSekera – Faulk19:11
xG 1.11–0.63 (64%)attempts 25–15goals 1–1
- Hainsey – Murphy2:33
xG 0.11–0.01 (89%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Gleason – Murphy13:29
xG 0.32–0.51 (39%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CAR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CAR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CAR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).