Sat, Jan 10, 2015·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Winnipeg Jets 5, Los Angeles Kings 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 311 | 04 | 17 | 03 | 1 | 525 |
| LAK | 27 | 011 | 210 | 01 | 0 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:39WPGMathieu PerreaultAssists: Michael Frolik, Dustin Byfuglien · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 4:31WPGBryan LittleAssists: Blake Wheeler, Andrew Ladd · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–0
- P1 6:39WPGBlake WheelerPPAssists: Mathieu Perreault, Dustin Byfuglien · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–0
- P1 14:31LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Marian Gaborik · Wrist, 0.56 xG3–1
- P1 15:58LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Jake Muzzin, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–2
- P3 1:29LAKMarian GaborikAssists: Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–3
- P3 12:25LAKKyle CliffordAssists: Trevor Lewis, Matt Greene · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–4
- P3 14:04WPGZach BogosianAssists: Toby Enstrom, Matt Halischuk · Wrist, 0.03 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. WPG Blake Wheeler stopped
- 2. LAK Drew Doughty stopped
- 3. WPG Mathieu Perreault stopped
- 4. LAK Trevor Lewis stopped
- 5. WPG Andrew Ladd stopped
- 6. LAK Jeff Carter stopped
- 7. WPG Bryan Little scored
- 8. LAK Mike Richards stopped
Penalties (13)
- P1 0:50WPGDustin Byfuglien: Hooking2 min
- P1 4:48LAKMarian Gaborik: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 8:20LAKKyle Clifford: Roughing2 min
- P1 8:20WPGChris Thorburn: Roughing2 min
- P1 8:20WPGAnthony Peluso: Roughing2 min
- P1 8:20LAKKyle Clifford: Charging2 min
- P1 8:20LAKJordan Nolan: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:37WPGDustin Byfuglien: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 14:03WPGJim Slater: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 18:37WPGAdam Lowry: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:03WPGAndrew Ladd: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:57LAKJarret Stoll: Hooking2 min
- OT 4:28WPGAndrew Ladd: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carter won the faceoff against Little
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- Halischuk – Kane – Lowry10:55
xG 0.43–0.43 (49%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
- Thorburn – Slater – Peluso4:58
xG 0.04–0.14 (22%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Ladd – Wheeler – Little11:27
xG 0.25–0.44 (36%)attempts 6–13goals 1–0
- Frolik – Perreault – Scheifele14:26
xG 0.36–0.67 (35%)attempts 4–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Enstrom – Bogosian16:03
xG 0.27–0.36 (43%)attempts 11–7goals 1–1
- Byfuglien – Chiarot19:24
xG 0.62–0.81 (43%)attempts 10–20goals 2–0
- Harrison – Stuart6:43
xG 0.12–0.49 (19%)attempts 3–9goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGaborik – Brown – Kopitar6:15
xG 0.45–0.04 (91%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Carter – Richards – King4:56
xG 0.10–0.03 (75%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Williams – Carter – Pearson3:07
xG 0.09–0.06 (63%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Richards – Lewis – Clifford2:27
xG 0.14–0.12 (53%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – McNabb12:29
xG 0.67–0.26 (72%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Greene – Muzzin9:58
xG 0.32–0.06 (85%)attempts 13–2goals 0–0
- Schultz – Martinez10:30
xG 0.44–0.31 (59%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).