Sun, Jan 11, 2015·United Center, Chicago
Minnesota Wild 1, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 014 | 012 | 111 | 137 |
| CHI | 213 | 214 | 08 | 435 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:17CHIMarian HossaAssists: Jonathan Toews, Brandon Saad · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 7:53CHIBryan BickellGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Brad Richards · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–2
- P2 11:08CHIBrad RichardsAssists: Patrick Kane, Bryan Bickell · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–3
- P2 18:25CHIJohnny OduyaAssists: Jonathan Toews, Marian Hossa · Snap, 0.12 xG0–4
- P3 15:08MINMatt CookeAssists: Kyle Brodziak, Jonas Brodin · Wrist, 0.30 xG1–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 11:14MINErik Haula: Tripping2 min
- P1 13:33CHIJohnny Oduya: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:02MINRyan Carter: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:17CHIJohnny Oduya: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 17:04CHIDavid Rundblad: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richards won the faceoff against Coyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestHaula – Niederreiter – Fontaine2:58
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Coyle – Niederreiter – Fontaine7:46
xG 0.33–0.16 (68%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Koivu – Pominville – Parise5:26
xG 0.06–0.03 (67%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Koivu – Pominville – Zucker7:11
xG 0.32–0.30 (52%)attempts 4–4goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Spurgeon12:18
xG 0.71–0.19 (79%)attempts 15–4goals 0–1
- Prosser – Folin3:06
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Suter – Brodin2:42
xG 0.14–0.12 (53%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Toews – Saad12:31
xG 0.61–0.22 (73%)attempts 12–6goals 2–0
- Richards – Bickell – Kane10:37
xG 0.30–0.21 (58%)attempts 11–11goals 2–0
- Sharp – Shaw – Teravainen12:52
xG 0.79–0.83 (49%)attempts 23–10goals 0–1
- Carcillo – Smith – Kruger9:37
xG 0.16–0.53 (23%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Rundblad11:46
xG 0.79–0.46 (63%)attempts 18–10goals 1–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson19:38
xG 0.56–0.66 (46%)attempts 18–21goals 1–0
- Keith – Seabrook16:16
xG 0.48–0.80 (38%)attempts 10–17goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).