Thu, Jan 15, 2015·TD Garden, Boston
New York Rangers 0, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 07 | 014 | 09 | 030 |
| BOS | 113 | 111 | 18 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:00BOSPatrice BergeronGWGAssists: Dougie Hamilton · Snap, 0.24 xG0–1
- P2 2:49BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Torey Krug, Adam McQuaid · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–2
- P3 9:49BOSLoui ErikssonAssists: Torey Krug, Kevan Miller · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–3
Penalties (12)
- P1 4:25BOSGregory Campbell: Cross checking2 min
- P2 7:52NYRTanner Glass: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:52BOSAdam McQuaid: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:14BOSBrad Marchand: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:55BOSDennis Seidenberg: Boarding2 min
- P2 17:12NYRKevin Hayes: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 6:13NYRChris Kreider: Boarding2 min
- P3 6:13BOSChris Kelly: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:13BOSChris Kelly: Instigator2 min
- P3 6:13BOSChris Kelly: Misconduct10 min
- P3 6:13NYRChris Kreider: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:41NYRJesper Fast: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Moore won the faceoff against Soderberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestSt. Louis – Kreider – Hayes4:56
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Moore – Hagelin – Fast3:31
xG 0.14–0.18 (44%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Stempniak – Glass – Miller3:00
xG 0.07–0.16 (31%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Moore – Stempniak – Hagelin6:54
xG 0.13–0.28 (33%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Boyle – Staal6:05
xG 0.00–0.04 (4%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Boyle – Hunwick8:20
xG 0.16–0.22 (42%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Klein – Staal10:11
xG 0.37–0.46 (45%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Lucic – Pastrnak11:56
xG 0.58–0.13 (82%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Campbell – Paille – Cunningham8:10
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith8:34
xG 0.52–0.12 (81%)attempts 10–2goals 1–0
- Kelly – Eriksson – Soderberg9:51
xG 0.16–0.71 (18%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – McQuaid15:32
xG 0.56–0.22 (72%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Miller – Krug11:46
xG 0.48–0.24 (67%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Chara – Hamilton14:25
xG 0.75–0.54 (58%)attempts 18–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).