Fri, Jan 16, 2015·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New York Rangers 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 013 | 211 | 02 | 226 |
| CBJ | 014 | 010 | 112 | 136 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:59NYRMarc StaalAssists: Derek Stepan, Kevin Klein · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P2 10:10NYRChris KreiderGWGAssists: Derek Stepan, Martin St. Louis · Backhand, 0.09 xG2–0
- P3 3:16CBJScott HartnellAssists: Ryan Johansen, Sergei Bobrovsky · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 8:01CBJJosh Anderson: Tripping2 min
- P1 13:48NYRRyan McDonagh: Holding2 min
- P2 4:38CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P2 4:38NYRTanner Glass: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:02NYRDominic Moore: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:12CBJJeremy Morin: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:12NYRKevin Klein: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:59NYRCarl Hagelin: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:37CBJJames Wisniewski: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:37NYRMarc Staal: Elbowing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Johansen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestHagelin – Hayes – Fast8:55
xG 0.25–0.17 (60%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Nash – Brassard – Zuccarello11:30
xG 0.12–0.24 (33%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
- St. Louis – Stepan – Kreider11:25
xG 0.76–0.94 (45%)attempts 10–19goals 2–0
- Moore – Stempniak – Glass7:48
xG 0.08–0.41 (17%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlein – Staal7:09
xG 0.38–0.27 (59%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
- Boyle – Hunwick5:28
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Hunwick – Girardi2:19
xG 0.13–0.07 (66%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestHartnell – Foligno – Johansen13:50
xG 0.64–0.31 (67%)attempts 16–6goals 1–0
- Dubinsky – Calvert – Anderson2:35
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Morin – Wennberg9:17
xG 0.34–0.21 (61%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Boll – Tropp3:59
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Savard16:31
xG 0.85–0.32 (73%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Wisniewski – Connauton15:15
xG 0.58–0.46 (56%)attempts 17–8goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Prout13:57
xG 0.46–0.60 (43%)attempts 15–9goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).