Sat, Jan 17, 2015·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 3, Los Angeles Kings 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 010 | 113 | 15 | 03 | 1 | 331 |
| LAK | 010 | 27 | 07 | 04 | 0 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 8:54LAKAlec MartinezAssists: Jeff Schultz, Kyle Clifford · Slap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 14:19ANARyan GetzlafAssists: Patrick Maroon, Corey Perry · Wrist, 0.38 xG1–1
- P2 18:27LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Marian Gaborik, Jake Muzzin · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 12:52ANASami VatanenPPAssists: Cam Fowler, Patrick Maroon · Slap, 0.03 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Jeff Carter stopped
- 2. ANA Corey Perry stopped
- 3. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 4. ANA Jakob Silfverberg scored
- 5. LAK Marian Gaborik stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:26LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:26ANATim Jackman: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:09LAKJarret Stoll: Boarding2 min
- P1 19:11ANACam Fowler: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:46ANAJakob Silfverberg: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 11:25LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Kesler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Maroon12:25
xG 1.48–0.28 (84%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Cogliano – Silfverberg – Rakell8:18
xG 0.59–0.12 (83%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Kesler – Beleskey – Smith-Pelly2:15
xG 0.06–0.01 (89%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Kesler – Beleskey – Palmieri9:43
xG 0.17–0.19 (48%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStoner – Vatanen14:59
xG 1.13–0.41 (74%)attempts 15–13goals 1–0
- Beauchemin – Lindholm17:23
xG 0.72–0.56 (57%)attempts 16–17goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Fowler15:17
xG 0.55–0.90 (38%)attempts 15–13goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestRichards – Clifford – Nolan8:15
xG 0.39–0.29 (57%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Gaborik – Williams – Kopitar11:44
xG 0.90–0.85 (51%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Stoll – Brown – Lewis12:31
xG 0.48–0.72 (40%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Carter – King – Shore8:20
xG 0.07–0.40 (15%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty20:14
xG 1.27–1.13 (53%)attempts 24–16goals 0–1
- Greene – McNabb10:33
xG 0.32–0.43 (43%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Schultz – Martinez16:03
xG 0.35–0.82 (30%)attempts 10–17goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).