Mon, Jan 19, 2015·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Vancouver Canucks 2, Florida Panthers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 213 | 09 | 01 | 223 |
| FLA | 06 | 08 | 110 | 124 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:25VANRadim VrbataAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Snap, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 8:03VANBo HorvatGWGAssists: Jannik Hansen, Dan Hamhuis · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–0
- P3 17:28FLABrandon PirriAssists: Dave Bolland · Snap, 0.04 xG2–1
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:44FLAAleksander Barkov: High sticking2 min
- P1 8:52VANChris Higgins: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:10FLADave Bolland: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:59VANJannik Hansen: Cross checking2 min
- P2 8:51FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:51VANJannik Hansen: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:51VANJannik Hansen: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:08VANDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:08FLADerek MacKenzie: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:08FLADerek MacKenzie: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:40VANLuca Sbisa: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bolland won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Burrows – Vey6:40
xG 0.39–0.19 (67%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Vrbata9:52
xG 0.29–0.14 (68%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Matthias – Bonino – Kassian9:17
xG 0.17–0.11 (61%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Hansen – Dorsett – Horvat7:27
xG 0.13–0.25 (35%)attempts 2–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Tanev15:03
xG 0.57–0.21 (73%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Sbisa14:56
xG 0.47–0.46 (51%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Bieksa – Stanton10:04
xG 0.11–0.11 (49%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHayes – Pirri – Bjugstad11:39
xG 0.35–0.24 (60%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Boyes – Huberdeau – Barkov11:21
xG 0.16–0.15 (52%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- MacKenzie – Kopecky – Trocheck4:53
xG 0.22–0.24 (49%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Jokinen – Fleischmann – Bolland7:08
xG 0.10–0.26 (29%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Kulikov12:10
xG 0.48–0.23 (68%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
- Mitchell – Gudbranson2:49
xG 0.05–0.00 (95%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Olsen – Gudbranson10:29
xG 0.22–0.35 (38%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).