Mon, Jan 19, 2015·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
New Jersey Devils 5, San Jose Sharks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 217 | 112 | 25 | 534 |
| SJS | 18 | 110 | 018 | 236 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:59SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Joe Thornton · Snap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 15:29NJDJordin TootooAssists: Tim Sestito, Jacob Josefson · Slap, 0.39 xG1–1
- P1 16:04NJDSteve BernierAssists: Scott Gomez · Slap, 0.46 xG2–1
- P2 4:00SJSMatt NietoAssists: Tyler Kennedy, Tomas Hertl · Slap, 0.10 xG2–2
- P2 14:45NJDMichael CammalleriPPGWGAssists: Adam Henrique, Scott Gomez · Tip-in, 0.17 xG3–2
- P3 11:10NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Adam Larsson, Martin Havlat · Backhand, 0.32 xG4–2
- P3 14:32NJDJacob JosefsonSHAssists: Adam Henrique, Jon Merrill · Wrist, 0.11 xG5–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 11:33SJSBrent Burns: Holding2 min
- P2 4:28SJSBrent Burns: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:32SJSBrent Burns: Illegal check to head2 min · PPG
- P2 17:35NJDAdam Larsson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 6:27NJDAdam Henrique: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:15NJDJon Merrill: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:11NJDMarek Zidlicky: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTootoo – Sestito – Josefson7:05
xG 1.58–0.07 (96%)attempts 12–3goals 1–0
- Elias – Havlat – Zajac11:29
xG 0.67–0.29 (70%)attempts 16–14goals 1–0
- Gomez – Bernier – Henrique11:33
xG 0.88–0.66 (57%)attempts 9–13goals 1–1
- Zubrus – Ryder – Cammalleri10:16
xG 0.00–0.63 (0%)attempts 2–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Larsson17:12
xG 2.22–0.14 (94%)attempts 26–11goals 2–0
- Gelinas – Merrill6:10
xG 0.74–0.22 (77%)attempts 5–9goals 1–1
- Zidlicky – Merrill2:52
xG 0.02–0.27 (6%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Pavelski – Karlsson12:33
xG 0.45–0.26 (63%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Desjardins – Sheppard – McGinn6:57
xG 0.23–0.08 (74%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Marleau – Couture – Wingels9:55
xG 0.26–0.16 (61%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Kennedy – Nieto – Hertl6:54
xG 0.36–1.69 (18%)attempts 11–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Vlasic16:08
xG 0.80–0.15 (85%)attempts 17–10goals 1–0
- Dillon – Irwin3:49
xG 0.14–0.15 (47%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Burns – Dillon4:01
xG 0.05–0.08 (39%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).