Wed, Jan 21, 2015·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Winnipeg Jets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 014 | 07 | 08 | 029 |
| WPG | 26 | 217 | 06 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:08WPGBlake WheelerGWGAssists: Andrew Ladd, Bryan Little · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 6:06WPGEvander KaneAssists: Mark Scheifele · Snap, 0.02 xG0–2
- P2 4:45WPGJim SlaterAssists: Jay Harrison, Jacob Trouba · Slap, 0.03 xG0–3
- P2 14:10WPGChris ThorburnAssists: Adam Lowry, Matt Halischuk · Snap, 0.12 xG0–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 11:40WPGZach Bogosian: Holding2 min
- P1 17:52WPGAndrew Ladd: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:55WPGJacob Trouba: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:05CBJKevin Connauton: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:47WPGAndrew Ladd: Holding2 min
- P2 17:36CBJNick Foligno: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:04CBJCorey Tropp: High sticking2 min
- P3 0:00CBJScott Hartnell: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestSkille – Letestu – Calvert2:34
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Skille – Calvert – Wennberg2:40
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Skille – Letestu – Tropp3:06
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Foligno – Morin – Johansen2:52
xG 0.08–0.14 (37%)attempts 1–1goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Johnson – Savard13:25
xG 0.27–0.48 (36%)attempts 10–10goals 0–2
- Tyutin – Prout13:05
xG 0.30–0.52 (37%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
- Wisniewski – Connauton16:49
xG 0.52–1.78 (23%)attempts 18–20goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLadd – Wheeler – Little9:52
xG 1.02–0.09 (92%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Slater – Galiardi – Peluso8:22
xG 0.68–0.26 (72%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Frolik – Kane – Scheifele13:39
xG 0.79–0.44 (64%)attempts 15–15goals 1–0
- Thorburn – Halischuk – Lowry9:16
xG 0.37–0.22 (62%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestByfuglien – Chiarot13:15
xG 1.28–0.08 (94%)attempts 16–6goals 3–0
- Enstrom – Bogosian15:21
xG 0.82–0.48 (63%)attempts 11–21goals 0–0
- Harrison – Trouba12:30
xG 0.43–0.52 (45%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).