Wed, Jan 21, 2015·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 2, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 87% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 06 | 16 | 116 | 228 |
| SJS | 110 | 19 | 26 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:44SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Matt Irwin, Antti Niemi · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 11:39LAKDustin BrownAssists: Marian Gaborik, Anze Kopitar · Wrap-around, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 16:39SJSPatrick MarleauPPAssists: Logan Couture, Joe Thornton · Tip-in, 0.16 xG1–2
- P3 8:27SJSJoe PavelskiPPGWGAssists: Patrick Marleau, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–3
- P3 19:37LAKJeff CarterPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Nicholas Shore · Tip-in, 0.01 xG2–3
- P3 19:57SJSLogan CoutureENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.64 xG2–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 6:11LAKJeff Carter: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:48SJSBrenden Dillon: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:48LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:05SJSJohn Scott: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:45SJSBrenden Dillon: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:40LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:45SJSJames Sheppard: Slashing2 min
- P3 6:41LAKDrew Doughty: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 15:18LAKTrevor Lewis: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:18SJSBrent Burns: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:38SJSBrenden Dillon: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:28SJSJoe Thornton: Boarding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Clifford – Nolan – Shore5:13
xG 0.08–0.06 (56%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Brown – Kopitar9:49
xG 0.16–0.24 (40%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Williams – Stoll – Richards6:25
xG 0.02–0.14 (15%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Williams – Stoll – Lewis2:05
xG 0.03–0.19 (12%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Regehr – Greene3:09
xG 0.02–0.02 (43%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Regehr – Doughty2:26
xG 0.09–0.10 (46%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Regehr – Martinez10:38
xG 0.13–0.29 (32%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKennedy – Sheppard – Hertl11:01
xG 0.43–0.06 (88%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Karlsson13:58
xG 0.38–0.09 (81%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Marleau – Couture – Nieto8:37
xG 0.38–0.13 (74%)attempts 9–8goals 1–1
- Desjardins – Scott – Goodrow4:35
xG 0.01–0.11 (9%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHannan – Irwin11:36
xG 0.43–0.12 (78%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Burns – Vlasic15:25
xG 0.52–0.25 (67%)attempts 13–14goals 1–1
- Dillon – Tennyson11:56
xG 0.33–0.22 (60%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 87% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).