Wed, Jan 28, 2015·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 213 | 010 | 16 | 329 |
| LAK | 110 | 19 | 28 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:58CHIPatrick KaneAssists: David Rundblad, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 8:42LAKJeff CarterAssists: Brayden McNabb, Tyler Toffoli · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 11:42CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 1:45LAKJeff CarterPPAssists: Marian Gaborik, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P3 2:25CHIAndrew ShawAssists: Teuvo Teravainen · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–2
- P3 13:49LAKTyler ToffoliAssists: Dwight King, Jeff Carter · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–3
- P3 16:23LAKJake MuzzinGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 10:41LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 15:22LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min
- P1 18:38LAKDustin Brown: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:52CHIJoakim Nordstrom: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 9:30LAKDustin Brown: High sticking2 min
- P2 16:59CHIBrent Seabrook: Closing hand on puck2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Kruger – Nordstrom9:57
xG 0.65–0.40 (62%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Richards – Sharp – Kane10:31
xG 0.18–0.17 (52%)attempts 11–7goals 1–1
- Bickell – Shaw – Teravainen6:59
xG 0.08–0.16 (33%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Hossa – Toews – Saad12:55
xG 0.36–0.93 (28%)attempts 9–19goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Hjalmarsson3:15
xG 0.68–0.04 (94%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson3:07
xG 0.15–0.08 (64%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Keith3:14
xG 0.00–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGaborik – Brown – Kopitar14:20
xG 0.54–0.23 (70%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Carter – King – Toffoli12:14
xG 0.86–0.73 (54%)attempts 15–10goals 2–0
- Lewis – Nolan – Shore5:53
xG 0.19–0.09 (69%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
- Williams – Stoll – Clifford11:47
xG 0.20–0.24 (45%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRegehr – Martinez15:12
xG 0.70–0.32 (69%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Doughty – McNabb2:19
xG 0.43–0.14 (75%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Greene – Muzzin2:07
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).