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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 1, 2015·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Nashville Predators 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 57% of the time.

PIT winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:38Shot by Smith, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 2:21Shot by Cullen, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 2:48Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Hutton
  5. P1 4:05Goal by Josi (Forsberg, Weber)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Lapierre, Downie, Letang, Despres, Bennett · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  6. P1 5:19Shot by Scuderi, saved by Hutton
  7. P1 6:38Goal by Bourque, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Hornqvist, Sutter, Spaling, Despres · NSH Cullen, Bartley, Bourque, Jarnkrok, Jones

  8. P1 7:22Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Hutton
  9. P1 7:38Shot by Pouliot, saved by Hutton
  10. P1 8:28Shot by Ekholm, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 8:44Shot by Cullen, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 8:56Shot by Perron, saved by Hutton
  13. P1 16:29Perron: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Scuderi, Martin, Kunitz, Lapierre, Downie · NSH Ribeiro, Bartley, Smith, Forsberg, Jones

  14. P1 17:23Shot by Weber, saved by Fleury4v5
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 1:37Shot by Letang, saved by Hutton
  18. P2 1:46Shot by Josi, saved by Fleury
  19. P2 1:51Beck: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Perron, Despres · NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Beck, Jarnkrok

  20. P2 1:49Shot by Josi, saved by Fleury
  21. P2 2:03Shot by Letang, saved by Hutton5v4
  22. P2 3:41Shot by Bennett, saved by Hutton5v4
  23. P2 4:49Volchenkov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Lapierre, Letang, Spaling, Despres, Arcobello · NSH Ribeiro, Volchenkov, Ekholm, Smith, Forsberg

  24. P2 5:30Shot by Kunitz, saved by Hutton5v4
  25. P2 5:47Perron: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Perron · NSH Fisher, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Jones

  26. P2 8:28Shot by Gaustad, saved by Fleury
  27. P2 8:47Shot by Josi, saved by Fleury
  28. P2 9:33Shot by Crosby, saved by Hutton6v5
  29. P2 9:34Jarnkrok: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Scuderi, Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Perron · NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Bourque, Jarnkrok

  30. P2 10:42Shot by Bennett, saved by Hutton5v4
  31. P2 11:32Shot by Crosby, saved by Hutton5v4
  32. P2 11:43Jarnkrok: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Perron, Despres · NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Beck, Jarnkrok

  33. P2 11:43Perron: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Perron, Despres · NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Beck, Jarnkrok

  34. P2 11:56Shot by Spaling, saved by Hutton4v4
  35. P2 12:47Shot by Martin, saved by Hutton4v4
  36. P2 14:07Shot by Perron, saved by Hutton
  37. P2 17:21Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 18:29Shot by Letang, saved by Hutton
  39. P2 19:10Shot by Gaustad, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 19:19Goal by Nystrom (Beck)+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Martin, Kunitz, Crosby, Perron, Pouliot · NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Josi, Beck, Ekholm

  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:26Shot by Letang, saved by Hutton
  44. P3 2:07Sutter: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Hornqvist, Sutter, Spaling, Despres · NSH Ribeiro, Volchenkov, Ekholm, Smith, Forsberg

  45. P3 4:03Shot by Wilson, saved by Fleury4v5
  46. P3 5:10Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Fleury
  47. P3 5:34Shot by Downie, saved by Hutton
  48. P3 7:13Shot by Smith, saved by Fleury5v6
  49. P3 7:22Crosby: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Perron, Bortuzzo · NSH Volchenkov, Gaustad, Neal, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  50. P3 8:20Goal by Fisher (Forsberg, Josi)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Scuderi, Spaling, Bortuzzo, Sill · NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg

  51. P3 11:14Shot by Lapierre, saved by Hutton
  52. P3 11:50Shot by Forsberg, saved by Fleury
  53. P3 12:25Shot by Kunitz, saved by Hutton
  54. P3 13:11Shot by Cullen, saved by Fleury
  55. P3 13:25Shot by Bartley, saved by Fleury
  56. P3 13:55Shot by Sill, saved by Hutton
  57. P3 17:19Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 17:57Shot by Ekholm, saved by Fleury
  59. P3 19:40Shot by Jones, saved by Fleury
  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final