Thu, Feb 5, 2015·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Los Angeles Kings 2, Florida Panthers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 114 | 08 | 19 | 231 |
| FLA | 18 | 05 | 27 | 320 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:39FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Brad Boyes, Jonathan Huberdeau · Slap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 15:48LAKJamie McBainAssists: Dustin Brown, Marian Gaborik · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P3 2:19LAKMarian GaborikPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Dustin Brown · Slap, 0.21 xG2–1
- P3 7:26FLANick BjugstadUnassisted · Snap, 0.10 xG2–2
- P3 16:55FLABrandon PirriGWGAssists: Tomas Fleischmann, Dmitry Kulikov · Slap, 0.06 xG2–3
Penalties (3)
- P1 17:13FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Boarding2 min
- P3 2:11FLAAlexander Petrovic: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 9:18LAKKyle Clifford: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – King – Toffoli11:41
xG 0.39–0.19 (67%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Brown – Kopitar14:29
xG 0.38–0.20 (65%)attempts 13–5goals 1–1
- Clifford – Nolan – Shore2:10
xG 0.04–0.01 (72%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Williams – Stoll – Lewis5:10
xG 0.07–0.08 (45%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRegehr – Doughty9:52
xG 0.31–0.03 (91%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Regehr – McBain7:44
xG 0.35–0.21 (63%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty13:51
xG 0.27–0.19 (59%)attempts 10–5goals 0–2
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- MacKenzie – Kopecky – Upshall8:58
xG 0.04–0.02 (65%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Fleischmann – Bolland – Pirri11:03
xG 0.20–0.21 (49%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Jokinen – Hayes – Bjugstad11:58
xG 0.34–0.38 (47%)attempts 5–12goals 1–0
- Boyes – Huberdeau – Barkov15:14
xG 0.19–0.30 (38%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKampfer – Kulikov2:32
xG 0.10–0.01 (88%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Campbell – Kampfer2:11
xG 0.08–0.08 (48%)attempts 1–2goals 1–0
- Kulikov – Ekblad2:53
xG 0.03–0.06 (30%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).