Thu, Feb 5, 2015·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
San Jose Sharks 5, Vancouver Canucks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 116 | 214 | 28 | 538 |
| VAN | 09 | 012 | 113 | 134 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:43SJSMatt IrwinAssists: Matt Tennyson, Logan Couture · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 6:24SJSMelker KarlssonGWGAssists: Brent Burns · Deflected, 0.15 xG2–0
- P2 19:45SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Logan Couture, Patrick Marleau · Deflected, 0.36 xG3–0
- P3 3:55SJSChris TierneyAssists: Brent Burns, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Deflected, 0.05 xG4–0
- P3 18:03VANRadim VrbataAssists: Ryan Stanton · Slap, 0.02 xG4–1
- P3 19:55SJSAndrew DesjardinsAssists: Chris Tierney, Daniil Tarasov · Wrist, 0.05 xG5–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:00VANRyan Stanton: Interference2 min
- P2 0:57SJSAndrew Desjardins: Boarding2 min
- P2 7:44SJSBarclay Goodrow: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:16VANDan Hamhuis: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 18:16VANHenrik Sedin: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 9:37VANRadim Vrbata: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 14:09SJSMelker Karlsson: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Thornton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Couture – Nieto10:53
xG 1.64–0.32 (83%)attempts 23–6goals 1–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Karlsson10:41
xG 0.59–0.24 (71%)attempts 10–13goals 1–0
- Desjardins – Tarasov – Tierney7:33
xG 0.57–0.26 (69%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Sheppard – Goodrow – Hertl9:12
xG 0.00–0.63 (0%)attempts 1–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Vlasic16:26
xG 1.95–0.35 (85%)attempts 24–11goals 2–0
- Irwin – Tennyson12:39
xG 0.76–0.41 (65%)attempts 18–13goals 2–1
- Dillon – Mueller12:49
xG 0.12–0.82 (13%)attempts 4–15goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Dorsett – Matthias – Horvat2:18
xG 0.10–0.05 (66%)attempts 2–2goals 0–1
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows8:19
xG 0.40–0.45 (47%)attempts 11–5goals 0–2
- Vrbata – Matthias – Bonino6:45
xG 0.29–0.37 (43%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Higgins – Hansen – Vey10:05
xG 0.46–0.78 (37%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStanton – Clendening12:03
xG 0.54–0.39 (58%)attempts 15–6goals 1–0
- Edler – Weber14:34
xG 0.30–0.52 (36%)attempts 9–15goals 0–1
- Hamhuis – Sbisa14:37
xG 0.64–1.52 (29%)attempts 14–21goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).