Fri, Feb 13, 2015·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 17 | 18 | 19 | 01 | 325 |
| CBJ | 011 | 111 | 28 | 13 | 433 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:33PHIWayne SimmondsAssists: Matt Read, Luke Schenn · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–0
- P2 8:09CBJBrandon DubinskyAssists: Kevin Connauton · Deflected, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 17:47PHISean CouturierAssists: Wayne Simmonds · Tip-in, 0.28 xG2–1
- P3 5:04PHIWayne SimmondsPPAssists: Claude Giroux, Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.44 xG3–1
- P3 8:38CBJJared BollAssists: Corey Tropp, Mark Letestu · Deflected, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 15:20CBJCam AtkinsonAssists: Scott Hartnell, Brandon Dubinsky · Backhand, 0.26 xG3–3
- OT 2:17CBJArtem AnisimovGWGAssists: James Wisniewski, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.39 xG3–4
Penalties (4)
- P2 2:40PHIMark Streit: Holding2 min
- P2 0:00CBJCam Atkinson: Holding2 min
- P3 4:32CBJCorey Tropp: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P3 16:18CBJKevin Connauton: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johansen won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestSimmonds – Read – Couturier10:04
xG 0.84–0.33 (72%)attempts 9–11goals 2–1
- Giroux – Voracek – Schenn12:58
xG 0.25–0.08 (75%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Umberger – White – Laughton8:17
xG 0.18–0.14 (57%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- VandeVelde – Voracek – Bellemare2:00
xG 0.00–0.13 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestColaiacovo – Grossmann11:44
xG 0.71–0.16 (82%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
- Streit – Del Zotto2:23
xG 0.08–0.14 (38%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Schenn – Del Zotto15:54
xG 0.43–0.50 (46%)attempts 14–15goals 1–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson12:18
xG 0.52–0.27 (66%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Skille – Anisimov – Wennberg10:19
xG 0.25–0.07 (78%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Boll – Letestu – Tropp6:34
xG 0.22–0.08 (72%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
- Hartnell – Foligno – Johansen14:24
xG 0.29–0.84 (26%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Savard19:38
xG 1.22–0.33 (79%)attempts 22–14goals 1–0
- Tyutin – Goloubef14:23
xG 0.41–0.33 (55%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Wisniewski – Connauton16:40
xG 0.62–0.91 (41%)attempts 24–14goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).