Fri, Feb 13, 2015·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Boston Bruins 2, Vancouver Canucks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 110 | 04 | 19 | 223 |
| VAN | 27 | 112 | 26 | 525 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:41VANShawn MatthiasAssists: Zack Kassian, Derek Dorsett · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 5:03VANShawn MatthiasUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P1 9:38BOSPatrice BergeronUnassisted · Deflected, 0.29 xG1–2
- P2 9:26VANRadim VrbataGWGAssists: Chris Higgins, Linden Vey · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–3
- P3 5:41BOSChris KellyUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 6:05VANShawn MatthiasAssists: Zack Kassian · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–4
- P3 18:00VANJannik HansenENAssists: Bo Horvat, Chris Tanev · Wrist, 0.48 xG2–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:21BOSPatrice Bergeron: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:30BOSGregory Campbell: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 16:54VANDan Hamhuis: Boarding2 min
- P3 6:23VANDan Hamhuis: High sticking2 min
- P3 14:25VANAdam Clendening: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKelly – Soderberg – Pastrnak3:59
xG 0.34–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Bergeron – Marchand3:17
xG 0.16–0.05 (77%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Krejci – Lucic – Pastrnak8:02
xG 0.31–0.29 (51%)attempts 7–7goals 0–2
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith6:44
xG 0.09–0.08 (53%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Krug4:19
xG 0.65–0.20 (77%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Seidenberg – McQuaid11:53
xG 0.78–0.38 (67%)attempts 12–8goals 0–2
- Miller – Krug9:21
xG 0.47–0.28 (63%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDorsett – Matthias – Kassian10:48
xG 0.43–0.18 (70%)attempts 4–7goals 3–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows10:30
xG 0.24–0.34 (42%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Hansen – Horvat – Kenins10:18
xG 0.18–0.41 (30%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
- Vrbata – Higgins – Vey8:39
xG 0.49–0.95 (34%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Hamhuis – Clendening2:09
xG 0.03–0.03 (50%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Sbisa13:09
xG 0.26–0.32 (45%)attempts 7–10goals 1–0
- Stanton – Clendening12:01
xG 0.64–0.90 (42%)attempts 17–13goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).