Sun, Feb 15, 2015·United Center, Chicago
Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 015 | 010 | 111 | 01 | 2 | 137 |
| CHI | 08 | 112 | 09 | 03 | 3 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:22CHINiklas HjalmarssonAssists: Brandon Saad, Jonathan Toews · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P3 3:54PITNick SpalingAssists: Beau Bennett, Brandon Sutter · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. PIT David Perron scored
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 3. PIT Sidney Crosby scored
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 5. PIT Kris Letang stopped
- 6. CHI Patrick Sharp scored
Penalties (6)
- P2 10:32CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:17PITBrandon Sutter: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:16PITRobert Bortuzzo: Slashing2 min
- P3 1:16CHIPatrick Kane: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:18CHIBrent Seabrook: Cross checking2 min
- P3 14:04PITSidney Crosby: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestKunitz – Crosby – Perron13:51
xG 0.90–0.23 (79%)attempts 17–5goals 0–1
- Malkin – Comeau – Hornqvist12:10
xG 0.38–0.21 (65%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Sutter – Spaling – Bennett12:23
xG 0.58–0.53 (52%)attempts 17–12goals 1–0
- Adams – Lapierre – Downie6:22
xG 0.02–0.43 (5%)attempts 2–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartin – Letang18:43
xG 0.99–0.53 (65%)attempts 25–16goals 0–1
- Scuderi – Despres14:49
xG 0.72–0.65 (52%)attempts 15–17goals 1–0
- Bortuzzo – Pouliot10:52
xG 0.17–0.26 (39%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBickell – Shaw – Hartman7:15
xG 0.36–0.24 (60%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Versteeg – Smith – Kruger4:38
xG 0.14–0.05 (73%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Richards – Versteeg – Kane7:28
xG 0.24–0.28 (46%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Sharp – Smith – Kruger4:34
xG 0.13–0.21 (37%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Keith12:35
xG 0.75–0.45 (62%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook6:41
xG 0.19–0.03 (86%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Oduya2:04
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).