Fri, Feb 20, 2015·Prudential Center, Newark
Vancouver Canucks 2, New Jersey Devils 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 02 | 111 | 110 | 223 |
| NJD | 17 | 211 | 19 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:12NJDPatrik EliasAssists: Adam Larsson, Adam Henrique · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P2 0:50NJDJordin TootooAssists: Adam Larsson, Cory Schneider · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 2:58NJDMichael CammalleriPPGWGAssists: Eric Gelinas, Scott Gomez · Slap, 0.03 xG0–3
- P2 6:23VANZack KassianAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–3
- P3 3:04VANZack KassianAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–3
- P3 17:53NJDMichael CammalleriENAssists: Adam Larsson · Wrist, 0.54 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:26NJDJordin Tootoo: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 17:54VANRadim Vrbata: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 1:30VANLinden Vey: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 6:59NJDPatrik Elias: High sticking2 min
- P3 4:49VANDerek Dorsett: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:06NJDMarek Zidlicky: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P3 0:00VANLuca Sbisa: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Elias won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Kassian6:03
xG 0.46–0.17 (72%)attempts 9–3goals 2–0
- Higgins – Kassian – Vey3:32
xG 0.21–0.02 (93%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Dorsett – McMillan – Vey2:33
xG 0.10–0.00 (98%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Vrbata5:30
xG 0.10–0.08 (57%)attempts 5–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Weber14:09
xG 0.52–0.26 (67%)attempts 16–9goals 0–1
- Stanton – Clendening6:01
xG 0.21–0.09 (71%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Biega2:12
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestCammalleri – Tootoo – Zajac11:03
xG 0.53–0.17 (76%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Zubrus – Gionta – Josefson6:42
xG 0.40–0.22 (65%)attempts 8–3goals 0–1
- Elias – Bernier – Henrique9:06
xG 0.30–0.31 (49%)attempts 8–6goals 1–1
- Jagr – Gomez – Ruutu10:54
xG 0.27–0.42 (40%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestZidlicky – Merrill16:11
xG 0.84–0.09 (90%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Harrold – Merrill2:19
xG 0.22–0.10 (68%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Greene – Larsson13:35
xG 0.61–0.52 (54%)attempts 10–9goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).