Sun, Feb 22, 2015·United Center, Chicago
Boston Bruins 6, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 28 | 416 | 06 | 630 |
| CHI | 112 | 07 | 19 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:00BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Reilly Smith, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 14:03BOSLoui ErikssonPPAssists: Torey Krug, Dougie Hamilton · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–0
- P1 19:58CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 6:18BOSMilan LucicGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, Ryan Spooner · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–1
- P2 12:19BOSGregory CampbellAssists: Brian Ferlin, Dennis Seidenberg · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–1
- P2 17:27BOSDougie HamiltonPPAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.03 xG5–1
- P2 19:56BOSReilly SmithAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.04 xG6–1
- P3 14:18CHIBryan BickellAssists: David Rundblad, Duncan Keith · Tip-in, 0.12 xG6–2
Penalties (14)
- P1 7:31BOSBrad Marchand: Boarding2 min
- P1 7:31CHIMichal Rozsival: Slashing2 min
- P1 12:10CHIMarian Hossa: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 15:05CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:29BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:52BOSTuukka Rask: Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min · PPG
- P1 19:58BOSTuukka Rask: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:58CHIAndrew Shaw: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 3:56BOSBrian Ferlin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 8:56CHIDaniel Carcillo: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:56BOSAdam McQuaid: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:24CHIRyan Hartman: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 17:24BOSJordan Caron: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:24CHIDaniel Carcillo: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestLucic – Spooner – Pastrnak8:47
xG 0.53–0.30 (64%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith8:10
xG 0.49–0.31 (61%)attempts 12–6goals 2–0
- Campbell – Caron – Ferlin5:20
xG 0.16–0.10 (61%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Kelly – Eriksson – Soderberg12:37
xG 0.38–0.49 (43%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Hamilton12:13
xG 0.46–0.17 (73%)attempts 12–7goals 2–0
- McQuaid – Krug7:43
xG 0.42–0.18 (70%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Chara – Seidenberg2:33
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Versteeg – Toews3:05
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Versteeg – Kane – Kruger2:40
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Carcillo – Kruger – Hartman4:06
xG 0.31–0.19 (62%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Hossa – Bickell – Toews5:19
xG 0.31–0.24 (56%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Rundblad5:16
xG 0.41–0.23 (64%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Keith – Seabrook5:53
xG 0.23–0.07 (76%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Keith6:20
xG 0.30–0.20 (60%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).