Thu, Mar 26, 2015·TD Garden, Boston
Anaheim Ducks 3, Boston Bruins 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 012 | 18 | 111 | 11 | 332 |
| BOS | 011 | 19 | 19 | 00 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 10:18ANAPatrick MaroonAssists: Clayton Stoner, Sami Vatanen · Snap, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 13:07BOSRyan SpoonerPPAssists: Patrice Bergeron, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P3 0:27BOSLoui ErikssonPPAssists: Torey Krug, David Krejci · Snap, 0.42 xG1–2
- P3 19:21ANACorey PerryAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Cam Fowler · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–2
- OT 3:09ANARyan GetzlafGWGAssists: Cam Fowler, Simon Despres · Snap, 0.05 xG3–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:39BOSMilan Lucic: Slashing2 min
- P1 2:39ANASimon Despres: Slashing2 min
- P1 6:57BOSAdam McQuaid: Slashing2 min
- P1 6:57ANACorey Perry: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:19ANAPatrick Maroon: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:05ANAFrancois Beauchemin: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:48ANASimon Despres: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 19:28ANASimon Despres: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 4:51BOSPatrice Bergeron: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- OT 0:38BOSZdeno Chara: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Sekac12:33
xG 0.77–0.21 (79%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Thompson – Cogliano – Wagner5:59
xG 0.26–0.08 (77%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Kesler – Beleskey – Palmieri9:45
xG 0.14–0.20 (42%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Maroon – Silfverberg – Rakell8:59
xG 0.12–0.31 (27%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDespres – Fowler15:31
xG 0.76–0.41 (65%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Beauchemin – Lindholm16:04
xG 0.52–0.19 (73%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Stoner – Vatanen11:30
xG 0.38–0.16 (70%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Soderberg – Smith12:42
xG 0.39–0.16 (70%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Kelly – Campbell – Talbot9:16
xG 0.07–0.13 (34%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Krejci – Marchand12:25
xG 0.31–0.61 (34%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Lucic – Spooner – Pastrnak5:38
xG 0.18–0.48 (27%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Krug9:42
xG 0.34–0.17 (66%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Seidenberg – Trotman2:40
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Bartkowski – Trotman2:13
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).