Fri, Mar 27, 2015·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 413 | 09 | 15 | 527 |
| CHI | 216 | 012 | 05 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:26CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Johnny Oduya, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 4:07CBJRyan JohansenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–1
- P1 9:24CBJCam AtkinsonAssists: Cody Goloubef · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–1
- P1 11:38CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Johnny Oduya, Kris Versteeg · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–2
- P1 13:03CBJKevin ConnautonGWGUnassisted · Slap, 0.03 xG3–2
- P1 15:46CBJCam AtkinsonSHAssists: Cody Goloubef, Artem Anisimov · Wrist, 0.14 xG4–2
- P3 19:01CBJCam AtkinsonENAssists: Nick Foligno, Ryan Johansen · Wrist, 0.67 xG5–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 13:50CBJJack Johnson: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:13CBJMarko Dano: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:07CHIDavid Rundblad: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:39CBJDalton Prout: Cross checking2 min
- P3 3:29CBJMarko Dano: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:50CBJScott Hartnell: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Richards
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAtkinson – Johansen – Jenner10:16
xG 0.65–0.28 (70%)attempts 10–9goals 2–1
- Dubinsky – Foligno – Anisimov9:58
xG 0.24–0.02 (92%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
- Letestu – Tropp – Morin6:05
xG 0.02–0.12 (12%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Karlsson – Dano11:57
xG 0.53–0.80 (40%)attempts 12–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Johnson – Savard15:45
xG 0.58–0.55 (51%)attempts 10–13goals 1–1
- Tyutin – Prout15:28
xG 0.21–0.27 (43%)attempts 6–12goals 0–1
- Goloubef – Connauton13:12
xG 0.65–0.77 (46%)attempts 15–13goals 2–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Vermette – Toews6:47
xG 0.67–0.16 (81%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Richards – Sharp – Saad9:38
xG 0.50–0.19 (72%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Hossa – Versteeg – Toews3:29
xG 0.15–0.08 (65%)attempts 4–3goals 1–1
- Vermette – Bickell – Teravainen3:03
xG 0.08–0.06 (57%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Rundblad10:54
xG 0.46–0.06 (89%)attempts 10–2goals 0–1
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson14:56
xG 0.87–0.55 (61%)attempts 17–9goals 2–0
- Timonen – Rundblad2:58
xG 0.09–0.12 (43%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).