Sat, Mar 28, 2015·TD Garden, Boston
New York Rangers 2, Boston Bruins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 014 | 17 | 111 | 232 |
| BOS | 314 | 113 | 03 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:41BOSMilan LucicAssists: Patrice Bergeron, David Pastrnak · Tip-in, 0.01 xG0–1
- P1 9:26BOSMilan LucicAssists: Torey Krug, Ryan Spooner · Snap, 0.04 xG0–2
- P1 14:27BOSCarl SoderbergGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–3
- P2 5:53BOSReilly SmithAssists: Loui Eriksson, Carl Soderberg · Wrist, 0.25 xG0–4
- P2 16:49NYRRick NashAssists: Chris Kreider, Derek Stepan · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–4
- P3 19:37NYRMatt HunwickAssists: Keith Yandle, J.T. Miller · Slap, 0.02 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
- P2 0:49NYRRick Nash: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:26NYRDominic Moore: High sticking2 min
- P3 12:26BOSDennis Seidenberg: High sticking2 min
- P3 14:36NYRJames Sheppard: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:36BOSMatt Bartkowski: Fighting5 min
- P3 0:00NYRTanner Glass: Butt ending5 min
- P3 0:00NYRTanner Glass: Game misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Hayes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestHagelin – Hayes – Fast9:29
xG 0.82–0.18 (82%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
- Nash – Brassard – Zuccarello4:16
xG 0.34–0.06 (84%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Nash – Stepan – Kreider9:18
xG 0.47–0.40 (54%)attempts 13–11goals 1–1
- Hagelin – Hayes – Miller2:11
xG 0.06–0.01 (80%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoyle – Staal16:50
xG 1.16–0.60 (66%)attempts 17–13goals 0–0
- Girardi – McDonagh17:58
xG 0.50–0.36 (58%)attempts 17–14goals 0–1
- Hunwick – Yandle16:11
xG 0.37–0.90 (29%)attempts 16–14goals 1–2
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Soderberg – Smith10:42
xG 0.61–0.16 (79%)attempts 6–8goals 2–0
- Kelly – Campbell – Talbot12:50
xG 0.50–0.28 (64%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
- Lucic – Spooner – Pastrnak9:29
xG 0.19–0.22 (46%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Krejci – Marchand11:25
xG 0.49–0.64 (43%)attempts 11–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMcQuaid – Krug4:28
xG 0.38–0.08 (82%)attempts 4–3goals 1–1
- McQuaid – Bartkowski8:59
xG 0.30–0.09 (77%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Chara – McQuaid5:05
xG 0.24–0.04 (85%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).