Sat, Mar 28, 2015·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Los Angeles Kings 1, Minnesota Wild 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 07 | 117 | 08 | 132 |
| MIN | 29 | 05 | 26 | 420 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:15MINNino NiederreiterAssists: Mikko Koivu, Chris Stewart · Backhand, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 13:39MINMikko KoivuGWGAssists: Chris Stewart · Backhand, 0.07 xG0–2
- P2 3:20LAKDwight KingAssists: Jeff Carter, Tyler Toffoli · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 16:57MINNino NiederreiterPPAssists: Jared Spurgeon, Marco Scandella · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–3
- P3 18:38MINMikko KoivuENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.58 xG1–4
Penalties (7)
- P2 10:40MINChris Stewart: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:40LAKJordan Nolan: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:22MINErik Haula: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:02MINRyan Suter: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:38LAKRobyn Regehr: Holding2 min
- P3 7:38MINMarco Scandella: High sticking2 min
- P3 15:56LAKTyler Toffoli: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Lewis – Shore6:53
xG 0.43–0.06 (88%)attempts 13–2goals 0–0
- Carter – King – Toffoli11:35
xG 0.38–0.15 (71%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Clifford – Nolan2:10
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Williams – Kopitar8:25
xG 0.14–0.20 (41%)attempts 10–5goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Martinez10:33
xG 0.53–0.08 (87%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty15:28
xG 0.53–0.38 (58%)attempts 23–10goals 0–1
- Sekera – Martinez2:48
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- Carter – Schroeder – Haula8:52
xG 0.22–0.22 (50%)attempts 6–10goals 0–1
- Koivu – Stewart – Niederreiter10:18
xG 0.20–0.27 (42%)attempts 5–11goals 2–0
- Pominville – Parise – Granlund14:17
xG 0.26–0.35 (43%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
- Vanek – Coyle – Fontaine10:18
xG 0.20–0.39 (34%)attempts 5–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeopold – Dumba10:30
xG 0.41–0.31 (57%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Scandella – Spurgeon13:23
xG 0.36–0.37 (50%)attempts 10–15goals 1–1
- Suter – Brodin20:19
xG 0.10–0.48 (17%)attempts 9–28goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).