Tue, Mar 31, 2015·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New Jersey Devils 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 110 | 08 | 18 | 00 | 226 |
| CBJ | 011 | 213 | 06 | 11 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:04NJDMichael CammalleriPPAssists: Eric Gelinas, Adam Henrique · Slap, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 1:49CBJNick FolignoPPAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Ryan Johansen · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 4:44CBJBrandon DubinskyUnassisted · Snap, 0.37 xG1–2
- P3 17:31NJDMichael CammalleriSHAssists: Dainius Zubrus, Adam Larsson · Deflected, 0.27 xG2–2
- OT 0:56CBJJack JohnsonGWGAssists: David Savard, Ryan Johansen · Backhand, 0.05 xG2–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 8:09CBJCody Goloubef: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:49CBJJeremy Morin: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 19:51NJDPatrik Elias: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 4:44NJDStefan Matteau: Penalty shot slash on breakaway0 min
- P2 15:47NJDTravis Zajac: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:28NJDScott Gomez: High sticking2 min
- P3 16:42NJDPatrik Elias: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Elias
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestCammalleri – Zajac – Matteau9:42
xG 0.38–0.10 (79%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Gomez – Bernier – Henrique7:58
xG 0.02–0.13 (14%)attempts 1–9goals 0–0
- Elias – Zubrus – Gionta10:07
xG 0.17–0.38 (31%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Ruutu – Tootoo – Josefson4:41
xG 0.06–0.49 (11%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Larsson14:59
xG 0.44–0.30 (60%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Merrill – Severson2:54
xG 0.05–0.01 (82%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Gelinas – Severson2:05
xG 0.02–0.05 (29%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestLetestu – Calvert – Morin8:15
xG 0.62–0.09 (87%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Dano – Wennberg9:22
xG 0.31–0.03 (92%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Foligno – Anisimov8:38
xG 0.19–0.14 (57%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Johansen – Jenner9:45
xG 0.21–0.33 (39%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoloubef – Connauton14:02
xG 0.82–0.03 (96%)attempts 18–1goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Prout15:21
xG 0.39–0.47 (45%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Johnson – Savard15:49
xG 0.27–0.44 (38%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).