Sat, Apr 11, 2015·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, New York Islanders 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 110 | 010 | 312 | 05 | 2 | 537 |
| NYI | 020 | 111 | 316 | 05 | 1 | 452 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:50CBJCam AtkinsonPPAssists: Boone Jenner, David Savard · Wrist, 0.38 xG1–0
- P2 11:02NYIKyle OkposoAssists: Josh Bailey, Nikolay Kulemin · Snap, 0.16 xG1–1
- P3 2:52NYIEric BoultonAssists: Tyler Kennedy, Nick Leddy · Wrist, 0.37 xG1–2
- P3 3:47NYIJohn TavaresAssists: Kyle Okposo, Nick Leddy · Snap, 0.09 xG1–3
- P3 9:37CBJBrandon DubinskyAssists: Kevin Connauton, Cody Goloubef · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
- P3 11:11CBJAlexander WennbergAssists: Marko Dano, Scott Hartnell · Snap, 0.35 xG3–3
- P3 15:36NYINikolay KuleminAssists: John Tavares, Lubomir Visnovsky · Wrist, 0.42 xG3–4
- P3 18:25CBJScott HartnellAssists: Artem Anisimov, Jack Johnson · Snap, 0.12 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. NYI John Tavares scored
- 2. CBJ Mark Letestu stopped
- 3. NYI Kyle Okposo stopped
- 4. CBJ Ryan Johansen stopped
- 5. NYI Nikolay Kulemin stopped
- 6. CBJ Alexander Wennberg scored
- 7. NYI Cal Clutterbuck stopped
- 8. CBJ Cam Atkinson scored
Penalties (14)
- P1 5:12CBJJack Johnson: Roughing2 min
- P1 5:12NYIEric Boulton: Roughing2 min
- P1 5:12NYIEric Boulton: Roughing2 min
- P1 6:23CBJRyan Johansen: Roughing2 min
- P1 6:23NYICal Clutterbuck: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:47CBJDavid Savard: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:43CBJScott Hartnell: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:14CBJDalton Prout: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:14NYIEric Boulton: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 19:38NYICasey Cizikas: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:05NYIKyle Okposo: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:52CBJDavid Savard: Cross checking2 min
- P3 4:21CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
- P3 4:21NYIBrock Nelson: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Bailey
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestHartnell – Dano – Wennberg9:14
xG 0.86–0.38 (69%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Letestu – Calvert – Morin8:56
xG 0.21–0.53 (28%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Johansen – Jenner6:23
xG 0.28–1.34 (17%)attempts 4–13goals 0–2
- Dubinsky – Foligno – Anisimov10:03
xG 0.27–1.35 (17%)attempts 7–15goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Savard17:31
xG 1.58–1.17 (58%)attempts 24–22goals 0–2
- Goloubef – Connauton10:00
xG 0.30–0.90 (25%)attempts 11–13goals 1–1
- Tyutin – Prout14:08
xG 0.17–2.02 (8%)attempts 8–23goals 0–1
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestOkposo – Kulemin – Tavares12:05
xG 1.70–0.30 (85%)attempts 24–13goals 2–0
- Boulton – Kennedy – Cizikas6:10
xG 0.85–0.27 (76%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Clutterbuck – Grabner – Bailey6:48
xG 0.47–0.13 (79%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
- Lee – Nelson – Strome9:11
xG 0.35–0.56 (38%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoychuk – Leddy13:24
xG 2.08–0.46 (82%)attempts 24–9goals 2–0
- Strait – de Haan14:26
xG 1.55–1.21 (56%)attempts 21–18goals 2–0
- Visnovsky – Hickey13:32
xG 0.50–0.33 (60%)attempts 14–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).