Fri, Oct 16, 2015·Prudential Center, Newark
San Jose Sharks 2, New Jersey Devils 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 110 | 013 | 09 | 02 | 2 | 234 |
| NJD | 05 | 012 | 111 | 04 | 1 | 132 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:01SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Joel Ward, Tomas Hertl · Snap, 0.06 xG1–0
- P3 16:22NJDAdam HenriquePPAssists: Damon Severson, Jordin Tootoo · Tip-in, 0.03 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. NJD Adam Henrique scored
- 2. SJS Joe Pavelski scored
- 3. NJD Jacob Josefson stopped
- 4. SJS Brent Burns scored
- 5. NJD Michael Cammalleri stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 8:58SJSMike Brown: Roughing2 min
- P1 8:58NJDJordin Tootoo: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:42NJDAndy Greene: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P2 14:01SJSJoe Pavelski: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:54NJDJon Merrill: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:35SJSJustin Braun: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 2:52SJSBrenden Dillon: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 4:36SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 15:28SJSTomas Hertl: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- OT 4:48SJSBrent Burns: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pavelski won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Pavelski – Goldobin9:38
xG 0.49–0.01 (97%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Marleau – Ward – Hertl11:40
xG 0.31–0.06 (84%)attempts 6–1goals 1–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Goodrow2:41
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Brown – Smith – Goodrow6:23
xG 0.25–0.31 (44%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartin – Burns18:19
xG 0.57–0.32 (64%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun11:44
xG 0.62–0.44 (58%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Braun – Dillon2:36
xG 0.07–0.02 (83%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestRuutu – Gionta – Boucher11:46
xG 0.36–0.31 (54%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Cammalleri – Stempniak – Henrique14:18
xG 0.50–0.50 (50%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Tlusty – Palmieri – Josefson9:34
xG 0.04–0.17 (20%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Tootoo – O'Neill – Kalinin5:36
xG 0.11–0.39 (21%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Severson10:33
xG 0.39–0.13 (75%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
- Greene – Larsson17:31
xG 0.27–0.41 (39%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Moore – Merrill14:51
xG 0.30–0.93 (25%)attempts 10–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).