Sat, Oct 17, 2015·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 09 | 03 | 111 | 123 |
| CHI | 06 | 215 | 29 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 15:35CHIArtem AnisimovAssists: Artemi Panarin · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 16:40CHITeuvo TeravainenPPGWGAssists: Trevor Daley, Marian Hossa · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–2
- P3 7:48CHIMarian HossaPPUnassisted · Snap, 0.14 xG0–3
- P3 16:21CBJJack JohnsonAssists: David Savard · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–3
- P3 18:33CHIPatrick KaneENAssists: Artemi Panarin, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.75 xG1–4
Penalties (13)
- P1 8:34CHIBrent Seabrook: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:15CHIJonathan Toews: Cross checking2 min
- P1 19:31CBJDavid Savard: Holding2 min
- P2 11:46CBJBrandon Saad: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:10CBJGregory Campbell: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:10CHIAndrew Shaw: Embellishment2 min
- P2 16:17CBJCody Goloubef: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 5:59CBJDalton Prout: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:59CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 19:10CBJKerby Rychel: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:10CHITrevor van Riemsdyk: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:10CHIVinnie Hinostroza: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:10CBJDalton Prout: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johansen won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Campbell – Clarkson – Rychel8:40
xG 0.01–0.17 (7%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson7:44
xG 0.06–0.23 (20%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Foligno – Jenner – Karlsson8:53
xG 0.00–0.22 (0%)attempts 0–11goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Johansen – Saad11:20
xG 0.14–0.42 (25%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Goloubef – Murray14:35
xG 0.16–0.23 (42%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Prout13:57
xG 0.19–0.31 (37%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Johnson – Savard15:56
xG 0.43–0.68 (39%)attempts 9–15goals 1–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAnisimov – Kane – Panarin9:53
xG 0.46–0.02 (95%)attempts 14–2goals 1–0
- Garbutt – Teravainen – Hinostroza8:01
xG 0.08–0.05 (61%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Hossa – Bickell – Toews11:51
xG 0.24–0.25 (49%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
- Desjardins – Kruger – Shaw7:54
xG 0.13–0.16 (44%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDaley – van Riemsdyk13:30
xG 0.47–0.14 (78%)attempts 18–10goals 1–0
- Seabrook – Svedberg14:40
xG 0.51–0.39 (57%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Keith – Hjalmarsson16:23
xG 0.30–0.29 (50%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).