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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 1, 2015·Barclays Center, Brooklyn

Buffalo Sabres 2, New York Islanders 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 60% of the time.

NYI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:56Shot by Strait, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 2:55Shot by Martin, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 3:07Shot by Okposo, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 3:15Shot by Hamonic, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 3:37Shot by Bailey, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 4:45Shot by Eichel, saved by Greiss
  8. P1 5:49Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss
  9. P1 7:04Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss
  10. P1 7:32Shot by Grabovski, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 9:15Shot by Martin, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 9:21Shot by Hamonic, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 9:41Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Greiss
  14. P1 10:51Shot by Larsson, saved by Greiss
  15. P1 13:25Shot by Bernier, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 16:05Shot by Bailey, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 17:01Shot by Legwand, saved by Greiss
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:43Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Greiss
  21. P2 3:06Shot by Martin, saved by Ullmark
  22. P2 3:11Shot by Martin, saved by Ullmark
  23. P2 4:35Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ullmark
  24. P2 6:01Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmark
  25. P2 6:13Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmark
  26. P2 7:45Shot by Grabovski, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 8:09Shot by Moulson, saved by Greiss
  28. P2 9:00Shot by Leddy, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 12:52Shot by Strait, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 12:57Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  31. P2 13:36Shot by Hamonic, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 13:42Goal by de Haan (Clutterbuck)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Hamonic, Martin, de Haan, Cizikas · BUF Colaiacovo, Foligno, Larsson, Pysyk, Eichel

  33. P2 14:57Shot by Franson, saved by Greiss
  34. P2 15:08Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 15:40Shot by Moulson, saved by Greiss
  36. P2 18:38Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss
  37. P2 19:14Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 19:51Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:16Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss
  42. P3 1:59Shot by Strome, saved by Ullmark
  43. P3 3:32Shot by Grabovski, saved by Ullmark
  44. P3 3:43Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss
  45. P3 3:52Shot by Kulemin, saved by Ullmark
  46. P3 5:50Shot by Reinhart, saved by Greiss
  47. P3 6:05Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss
  48. P3 6:20Goal by Moulson (Girgensons, Gionta)+31 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Zidlicky, Grabovski, Okposo, Bailey, Hamonic · BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Moulson, Pysyk, Girgensons

  49. P3 8:02Shot by Nelson, saved by Ullmark
  50. P3 9:45Shot by Pysyk, saved by Greiss
  51. P3 10:04Shot by Bernier, saved by Ullmark
  52. P3 11:29Shot by Nelson, saved by Ullmark
  53. P3 13:18Shot by McGinn, saved by Greiss
  54. P3 13:44Goal by Reinhart (Legwand, McGinn)+37 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Zidlicky, Clutterbuck, Strait, Martin, Cizikas · BUF Legwand, Colaiacovo, McGinn, Pysyk, Reinhart

  55. P3 15:35Shot by Grabovski, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 15:38Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Greiss
  57. P3 15:54Shot by Girgensons, saved by Greiss
  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final