Fri, Nov 6, 2015·Prudential Center, Newark
Chicago Blackhawks 2, New Jersey Devils 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 08 | 17 | 114 | 229 |
| NJD | 313 | 18 | 05 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:48NJDLee StempniakUnassisted · Snap, 0.25 xG0–1
- P1 17:48NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Travis Zajac · Snap, 0.03 xG0–2
- P1 18:14NJDTravis ZajacGWGAssists: Damon Severson, Lee Stempniak · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–3
- P2 7:28NJDMichael CammalleriAssists: Damon Severson, Kyle Palmieri · Snap, 0.06 xG0–4
- P2 18:42CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Erik Gustafsson, Andrew Shaw · Snap, 0.03 xG1–4
- P3 18:34CHITanner KeroAssists: Artemi Panarin, Teuvo Teravainen · Backhand, 0.13 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 11:12CHIRyan Garbutt: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:54NJDAdam Henrique: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:54CHIJonathan Toews: Fighting5 min
- P2 4:56NJDAndy Greene: Interference2 min
- P2 19:39NJDDavid Schlemko: High sticking2 min
- P3 5:05NJDAdam Larsson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 5:15CHIBrent Seabrook: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Shaw – Teravainen4:17
xG 0.51–0.20 (72%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Toews – Garbutt – Panarin2:53
xG 0.17–0.04 (82%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Tikhonov – Dano – Kero4:34
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Toews – Tikhonov – Panarin3:03
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDaley – Gustafsson14:13
xG 0.58–0.14 (81%)attempts 20–3goals 1–0
- Hjalmarsson – van Riemsdyk13:22
xG 0.53–0.63 (46%)attempts 8–12goals 0–3
- Seabrook – Svedberg11:47
xG 0.07–0.43 (14%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestCammalleri – Stempniak – Henrique9:33
xG 0.55–0.39 (59%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Gionta – Farnham – O'Neill5:34
xG 0.20–0.04 (83%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Tootoo – Josefson – Kalinin4:58
xG 0.13–0.00 (97%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Tootoo – Tlusty – Josefson2:23
xG 0.12–0.00 (97%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Larsson18:35
xG 0.72–0.44 (62%)attempts 11–14goals 2–0
- Schlemko – Merrill13:27
xG 0.25–0.15 (63%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Moore – Severson8:51
xG 0.49–0.46 (52%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).