Sun, Nov 8, 2015·Barclays Center, Brooklyn
Boston Bruins 2, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 111 | 110 | 06 | 227 |
| NYI | 011 | 013 | 113 | 137 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:00BOSRyan SpoonerPPAssists: David Krejci, Patrice Bergeron · Slap, 0.24 xG1–0
- P2 14:13BOSPatrice BergeronGWGAssists: Kevan Miller, Brad Marchand · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–0
- P3 13:18NYIJohnny BoychukPPAssists: Kyle Okposo, Frans Nielsen · Slap, 0.07 xG2–1
Penalties (12)
- P1 11:52NYIMarek Zidlicky: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 12:08NYIBrian Strait: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 15:40BOSPatrice Bergeron: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:35BOSMax Talbot: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:22NYIFrans Nielsen: Holding2 min
- P3 4:36BOSPatrice Bergeron: Holding2 min
- P3 7:24BOSTorey Krug: Cross checking2 min
- P3 12:24BOSKevan Miller: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 12:38BOSJoonas Kemppainen: Delaying game face off violation2 min
- P3 16:03BOSAdam McQuaid: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:03NYIMatt Martin: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:58BOSMatt Beleskey: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nielsen won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Talbot – Rinaldo – Kemppainen5:13
xG 0.07–0.06 (52%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Beleskey – Connolly11:20
xG 0.36–0.56 (39%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Marchand – Hayes – Spooner6:34
xG 0.22–0.44 (33%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Krejci – Vatrano9:37
xG 0.42–0.78 (35%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrotman – Miller11:33
xG 0.62–0.32 (66%)attempts 16–10goals 1–0
- McQuaid – Krug9:55
xG 0.59–0.84 (41%)attempts 7–15goals 0–0
- Chara – Miller11:35
xG 0.29–0.63 (32%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestNielsen – Bernier – Lee6:44
xG 0.45–0.07 (86%)attempts 15–1goals 0–0
- Grabovski – Beck – Nelson6:38
xG 0.30–0.06 (84%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas6:36
xG 0.29–0.19 (60%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Bernier – Grabovski – Kulemin2:18
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoychuk – Leddy12:13
xG 0.95–0.70 (57%)attempts 18–13goals 0–1
- Hamonic – de Haan14:24
xG 0.68–0.45 (60%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Strait8:06
xG 0.34–0.22 (61%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).