Thu, Nov 12, 2015·United Center, Chicago
New Jersey Devils 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 07 | 26 | 19 | 322 |
| CHI | 110 | 010 | 19 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:42CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Teuvo Teravainen · Snap, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 0:59NJDAdam HenriqueAssists: John Moore · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 17:01NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Sergey Kalinin · Wrist, 0.31 xG2–1
- P3 13:19CHIArtemi PanarinAssists: Erik Gustafsson, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P3 17:33NJDSergey KalininPPGWGAssists: Kyle Palmieri, David Schlemko · Wrist, 0.36 xG3–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:02NJDJohn Moore: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 5:02NJDDamon Severson: High sticking2 min
- P1 10:27CHIMarian Hossa: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 3:43NJDJordin Tootoo: Interference2 min
- P2 12:07CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:58NJDTravis Zajac: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:01NJDMichael Cammalleri: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:25CHIPatrick Kane: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Palmieri – Kalinin9:43
xG 1.02–0.05 (95%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Tootoo – Josefson – Matteau6:31
xG 0.24–0.05 (82%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Cammalleri – Stempniak – Henrique12:03
xG 0.14–0.35 (29%)attempts 2–16goals 1–0
- Gionta – Farnham – O'Neill8:08
xG 0.04–0.72 (5%)attempts 2–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Larsson16:56
xG 1.28–0.62 (67%)attempts 14–21goals 1–0
- Moore – Merrill2:44
xG 0.18–0.02 (89%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Schlemko – Severson2:43
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAnisimov – Kane – Panarin12:26
xG 0.46–0.18 (72%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Dano – Kero5:27
xG 0.25–0.02 (93%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Hossa – Toews – Shaw9:44
xG 0.34–0.26 (56%)attempts 14–4goals 0–1
- Toews – Kane – Panarin2:01
xG 0.09–0.04 (72%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHjalmarsson – van Riemsdyk17:10
xG 0.82–0.27 (75%)attempts 23–4goals 0–1
- Daley – Gustafsson10:57
xG 0.47–0.23 (67%)attempts 15–7goals 1–0
- Seabrook – Svedberg12:55
xG 0.25–1.26 (16%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).