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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 14, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Vancouver Canucks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Vancouver Canucks

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.

TOR winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:36Shot by Polak, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:50Shot by Dorsett, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 3:00Shot by Polak, saved by Miller
  5. P1 4:12Shot by Sedin, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 7:19Shot by McCann, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 7:32Shot by Vrbata, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 8:23Goal by van Riemsdyk (Kadri, Komarov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Harrington · VAN Hamhuis, Weber, Baertschi, Horvat, Virtanen

  9. P1 10:38Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  10. P1 13:22Shot by Cracknell, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 14:02Shot by Grabner, saved by Miller
  12. P1 14:59Shot by Virtanen, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 16:31Vrbata: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak · VAN Vrbata, Hamhuis, Burrows, Cracknell, Weber

  14. P1 16:45Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller5v4
  15. P1 16:46Shot by Komarov, saved by Miller5v4
  16. P1 18:40Shot by Rielly, saved by Miller
  17. P1 19:34Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  18. P1 18:48Shot by Spaling, saved by Miller
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:37Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  22. P2 1:02Shot by McCann, saved by Reimer
  23. P2 1:07Virtanen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Polak, Matthias, Bozak, Harrington · VAN Bartkowski, Baertschi, Hutton, Horvat, Virtanen

  24. P2 1:17Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller5v4
  25. P2 1:25Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller5v4
  26. P2 2:31Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller5v4
  27. P2 4:26Shot by Hutton, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 6:02Shot by Edler, saved by Reimer
  29. P2 6:32Shot by Winnik, saved by Miller
  30. P2 6:48Horvat: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Matthias, Gardiner, Bozak · VAN Edler, Tanev, Baertschi, Horvat, Virtanen

  31. P2 7:00Shot by Sedin, saved by Reimer5v4
  32. P2 7:52Burrows: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Winnik, Bozak, Holland · VAN Hamhuis, Higgins, Burrows, Bartkowski

  33. P2 8:07Shot by Holland, saved by Miller5v3
  34. P2 8:34Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller5v3
  35. P2 8:39Shot by Parenteau, saved by Miller5v3
  36. P2 8:51Goal by Parenteau (Holland, Gardiner)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Bozak, Holland, Rielly · VAN Higgins, Edler, Tanev, Horvat

  37. P2 10:26Shot by Holland, saved by Miller
  38. P2 11:08Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  39. P2 11:27Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 11:43Shot by Burrows, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 12:30Shot by Hutton, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 12:38Shot by Sedin, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 12:50Shot by Sedin, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 13:19Shot by Hutton, saved by Reimer
  45. P2 13:36Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  46. P2 14:08Kadri: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Matthias, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri · VAN Vrbata, Hamhuis, Higgins, Weber, McCann

  47. P2 14:50Edler: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Grabner, Froese · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Burrows, Edler, Hansen

  48. P2 14:50Shot by Grabner, saved by Millerother
  49. P2 15:22Shot by Froese, saved by Miller4v5
  50. P2 15:31Shot by Vrbata, saved by Reimer4v5
  51. P2 16:33Goal by Hansen (Sedin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hamhuis, Hansen, Weber

  52. P2 19:05Shot by Sedin, saved by Reimer
  53. P2 19:10Shot by Sedin, saved by Reimer
  54. P2 19:19Shot by Rielly, saved by Miller
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:16Shot by Spaling, saved by Miller
  58. P3 0:55Shot by Higgins, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 1:17Shot by McCann, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 1:36Shot by Parenteau, saved by Miller
  61. P3 1:49Goal by Matthias (Bozak, Polak)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Polak, Matthias, Bozak, Harrington · VAN Bartkowski, Baertschi, Hutton, Horvat, Virtanen

  62. P3 2:09Shot by Sedin, saved by Reimer
  63. P3 3:27Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  64. P3 3:58Shot by Tanev, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 4:20Shot by Matthias, saved by Miller
  66. P3 4:47Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 5:21Shot by Hansen, saved by Reimer
  68. P3 6:26Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  69. P3 6:41Shot by Matthias, saved by Miller
  70. P3 7:11Shot by Hansen, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 7:21Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  72. P3 7:24Shot by Spaling, saved by Miller
  73. P3 7:28Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  74. P3 7:44Shot by Virtanen, saved by Reimer
  75. P3 9:29Shot by Polak, saved by Miller
  76. P3 10:00Shot by Sedin, saved by Reimer
  77. P3 10:18Parenteau: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Hunwick, Matthias, Bozak, Rielly · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Vrbata, Edler, Hansen, Tanev

  78. P3 10:25Shot by Sedin, saved by Reimer4v5
  79. P3 10:36Goal by Burrows (Weber, Edler)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Grabner, Spaling · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Burrows, Edler, Weber

  80. P3 10:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  81. P3 11:30Phaneuf: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Matthias, Gardiner, Bozak · VAN Hamhuis, Burrows, Cracknell, Dorsett, Weber

  82. P3 12:05Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer4v5
  83. P3 12:53Shot by Vrbata, saved by Reimer4v5
  84. P3 13:15Shot by McCann, saved by Reimer4v5
  85. P3 13:32Shot by Vrbata, saved by Reimer
  86. P3 13:46Shot by Virtanen, saved by Reimer
  87. P3 14:00Shot by Bartkowski, saved by Reimer
  88. P3 14:57Shot by Higgins, saved by Reimer
  89. P3 15:18Shot by Edler, saved by Reimer
  90. P3 15:37Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer
  91. P3 16:08Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  92. P3 16:10Shot by Winnik, saved by Miller
  93. P3 16:13Goal by Lupul (Spaling, Winnik)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Polak, Hunwick, Winnik, Spaling · VAN Sedin, Sedin, Hansen, Weber, Hutton

  94. P3 16:47Shot by Hansen, saved by Reimer5v6
  95. P3 17:09Shot by Hansen, saved by Reimer5v6
  96. P3 17:44Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer5v6
  97. P3 17:49Shot by Sedin, saved by Reimer5v6
  98. P3 18:15Shot by Burrows, saved by Reimer5v6
  99. P3 19:33Baertschi: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Polak, Komarov, Bozak, Froese · VAN Edler, Weber, Baertschi, Horvat, Virtanen, McCann

  100. P3 19:33Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Polak, Komarov, Bozak, Froese · VAN Edler, Weber, Baertschi, Horvat, Virtanen, McCann

  101. P3 0:00Period end
  102. P3 0:00Final