Fri, Nov 20, 2015·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Nashville Predators 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 010 | 017 | 012 | 039 |
| CBJ | 25 | 17 | 16 | 418 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:35CBJGregory CampbellGWGAssists: Kerby Rychel, Josh Anderson · Snap, 0.20 xG0–1
- P1 4:16CBJRyan JohansenAssists: Boone Jenner, Ryan Murray · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–2
- P2 5:17CBJBoone JennerAssists: Ryan Johansen, Brandon Saad · Backhand, 0.23 xG0–3
- P3 19:10CBJScott HartnellENAssists: Cam Atkinson, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.71 xG0–4
Penalties (4)
- P2 7:53CBJRyan Johansen: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:01CBJMatt Calvert: High sticking2 min
- P3 2:11CBJKerby Rychel: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:52NSHJames Neal: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Ribeiro won the faceoff against Johansen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestFisher – Neal – Hodgson4:33
xG 0.52–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
- Fisher – Neal – Salomaki7:43
xG 0.35–0.14 (72%)attempts 11–4goals 0–1
- Hodgson – Bourque – Sissons5:40
xG 0.20–0.02 (91%)attempts 13–2goals 0–0
- Wilson – Bourque – Jarnkrok2:18
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEllis – Ekholm16:22
xG 0.58–0.07 (90%)attempts 17–3goals 0–0
- Jackman – Jones13:51
xG 0.76–0.26 (74%)attempts 25–8goals 0–1
- Weber – Josi14:41
xG 0.75–1.02 (42%)attempts 20–13goals 0–2
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Bourque – Calvert – Karlsson11:15
xG 0.38–0.35 (52%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
- Campbell – Anderson – Rychel7:03
xG 0.22–0.25 (46%)attempts 2–8goals 1–0
- Johansen – Jenner – Saad9:01
xG 0.43–0.79 (35%)attempts 4–18goals 2–0
- Hartnell – Foligno – Atkinson11:23
xG 0.12–0.53 (18%)attempts 6–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoloubef – Murray5:07
xG 0.39–0.24 (62%)attempts 5–7goals 2–0
- Connauton – Murray10:48
xG 0.37–0.36 (50%)attempts 5–13goals 1–0
- Tyutin – Connauton6:37
xG 0.04–0.17 (17%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).