Sun, Nov 22, 2015·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New Jersey Devils 3, Vancouver Canucks 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 09 | 16 | 27 | 322 |
| VAN | 06 | 013 | 219 | 238 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:05NJDMichael CammalleriAssists: Kyle Palmieri, Travis Zajac · Wrist, 0.30 xG1–0
- P3 1:31NJDAndy GreenePPAssists: Michael Cammalleri, Lee Stempniak · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–0
- P3 7:21VANHenrik SedinSHAssists: Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 9:25NJDAdam HenriqueGWGAssists: Michael Cammalleri, Adam Larsson · Snap, 0.07 xG3–1
- P3 19:59VANRadim VrbataPPAssists: Bo Horvat, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.29 xG3–2
Penalties (13)
- P1 1:11VANDerek Dorsett: Interference2 min
- P1 3:28NJDJacob Josefson: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:42NJDAdam Larsson: Holding2 min
- P1 11:18VANJacob Markstrom: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 3:05NJDMichael Cammalleri: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:50NJDJacob Josefson: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:30VANAlexander Edler: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:38NJDDamon Severson: Cross checking2 min
- P2 19:55VANDaniel Sedin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 4:10NJDJacob Josefson: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:14NJDJohn Moore: Penalty shot covering puck in crease0 min
- P3 6:35VANLuca Sbisa: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:44NJDJohn Moore: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestCammalleri – Stempniak – Henrique7:05
xG 0.35–0.12 (75%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Zajac – Palmieri – Kalinin7:13
xG 0.12–0.06 (68%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Josefson – Farnham – O'Neill2:22
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Larsson12:45
xG 0.63–0.15 (81%)attempts 11–8goals 2–0
- Gelinas – Merrill8:21
xG 0.29–0.05 (84%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Moore – Severson7:55
xG 0.10–0.20 (34%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Vrbata – Baertschi – McCann6:44
xG 0.11–0.06 (63%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Higgins – Burrows – Horvat6:37
xG 0.13–0.18 (42%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Prust – Cracknell – Dorsett6:40
xG 0.10–0.34 (23%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Hansen9:23
xG 0.11–0.42 (20%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Edler – Bartkowski2:06
xG 0.12–0.08 (59%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
- Hamhuis – Weber9:42
xG 0.08–0.19 (29%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Sbisa – Bartkowski9:24
xG 0.23–0.35 (40%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).