Fri, Nov 27, 2015·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 07 | 08 | 19 | 01 | 125 |
| CBJ | 015 | 09 | 113 | 16 | 243 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 9:15PITEvgeni MalkinPPAssists: Sidney Crosby · Wrist, 0.39 xG1–0
- P3 11:57CBJRyan JohansenAssists: Brandon Saad, Kevin Connauton · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–1
- OT 2:42CBJCam AtkinsonGWGAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Jack Johnson · Snap, 0.22 xG1–2
Penalties (14)
- P1 3:00PITIan Cole: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:48CBJJustin Falk: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:45PITEvgeni Malkin: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:18PITEvgeni Malkin: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:01CBJRyan Murray: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:40CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Cross checking2 min
- P2 18:40PITPatric Hornqvist: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 18:40CBJScott Hartnell: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 19:18PITEvgeni Malkin: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:18CBJJack Johnson: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:10PITSergei Plotnikov: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:10CBJKerby Rychel: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:12CBJRyan Murray: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:42PITChris Kunitz: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johansen won the faceoff against Malkin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- Kunitz – Bonino – Bennett5:42
xG 0.10–0.10 (51%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Cullen – Fehr – Plotnikov6:19
xG 0.20–0.21 (48%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Malkin – Kessel – Perron11:13
xG 0.24–0.36 (40%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Dupuis – Crosby – Hornqvist10:07
xG 0.30–1.35 (18%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Letang12:32
xG 0.45–0.20 (69%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Clendening4:06
xG 0.05–0.16 (25%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Dumoulin9:47
xG 0.44–0.67 (40%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson8:58
xG 0.58–0.31 (65%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Foligno – Johansen – Jenner7:44
xG 0.45–0.33 (58%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Campbell – Wennberg – Rychel6:32
xG 0.23–0.11 (67%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Saad – Karlsson5:00
xG 0.18–0.14 (56%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestConnauton – Murray11:22
xG 0.90–0.28 (76%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Johnson – Savard14:53
xG 0.69–0.57 (55%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- Bodnarchuk – Falk11:46
xG 0.35–0.40 (46%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).