Wed, Dec 2, 2015·Barclays Center, Brooklyn
New York Rangers 1, New York Islanders 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 013 | 19 | 06 | 06 | 0 | 134 |
| NYI | 06 | 116 | 012 | 03 | 1 | 237 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 12:22NYIJohn TavaresPPAssists: Kyle Okposo, Johnny Boychuk · Wrist, 0.28 xG0–1
- P2 18:37NYRViktor StalbergAssists: Marc Staal, Dominic Moore · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. NYI Kyle Okposo scored
- 2. NYR Rick Nash stopped
- 3. NYI Frans Nielsen stopped
- 4. NYR Mats Zuccarello stopped
- 5. NYI John Tavares stopped
- 6. NYR Dan Boyle stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 14:57NYIMikhail Grabovski: Interference2 min
- P2 7:48NYIJosh Bailey: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:58NYRKeith Yandle: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 12:05NYRDan Girardi: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- OT 1:12NYIJohn Tavares: Too many men on the ice2 min
- OT 3:19NYRKeith Yandle: Roughing2 min
- OT 3:19NYICasey Cizikas: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cizikas won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestGlass – Lindberg – Miller9:03
xG 0.53–0.24 (69%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
- Stoll – Moore – Stalberg12:43
xG 0.14–0.09 (61%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Kreider – Hayes – Fast10:11
xG 0.29–0.53 (36%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Nash – Brassard – Zuccarello10:27
xG 0.11–0.89 (11%)attempts 6–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcDonagh – McIlrath2:02
xG 0.16–0.01 (94%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Staal – Girardi3:31
xG 0.18–0.07 (73%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Yandle – McIlrath8:45
xG 0.41–0.36 (53%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestNielsen – Bailey – Lee10:16
xG 0.61–0.27 (69%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Okposo – Tavares – Nelson14:36
xG 0.51–0.42 (55%)attempts 15–15goals 0–1
- Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas9:36
xG 0.22–0.16 (58%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Grabovski – Kulemin – Strome7:43
xG 0.37–0.35 (51%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamonic – Leddy19:59
xG 1.05–0.38 (73%)attempts 23–18goals 0–0
- Boychuk – de Haan14:54
xG 0.64–0.49 (57%)attempts 17–16goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Hickey13:21
xG 0.22–0.36 (38%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).