Sat, Dec 5, 2015·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Boston Bruins 4, Vancouver Canucks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 25 | 19 | 18 | 422 |
| VAN | 05 | 07 | 05 | 017 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:54BOSBrad MarchandGWGAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Joe Morrow · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 7:03BOSTorey KrugAssists: Kevan Miller, David Krejci · Slap, 0.02 xG2–0
- P2 8:02BOSLandon FerraroAssists: Zdeno Chara · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–0
- P3 11:32BOSTyler RandellAssists: Landon Ferraro, Zac Rinaldo · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–0
Penalties (13)
- P1 2:07BOSZac Rinaldo: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:07VANDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:02BOSBrett Connolly: Cross checking2 min
- P2 2:51BOSZac Rinaldo: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:31BOSZac Rinaldo: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:31VANDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:39BOSZac Rinaldo: Boarding2 min
- P3 18:07VANBrandon Prust: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:35BOSZac Rinaldo: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:35BOSTyler Randell: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:35VANDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:35VANDerek Dorsett: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:35VANDerek Dorsett: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestRinaldo – Ferraro – Randell7:31
xG 0.30–0.15 (67%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Krejci – Beleskey12:16
xG 0.31–0.20 (60%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Connolly12:12
xG 0.31–0.20 (60%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Spooner – Vatrano – Kemppainen9:35
xG 0.31–0.23 (57%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMorrow – Krug4:46
xG 0.18–0.03 (88%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Trotman – Morrow7:52
xG 0.29–0.15 (66%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Chara – Trotman10:05
xG 0.34–0.22 (61%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Hansen12:35
xG 0.30–0.19 (61%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Burrows – Horvat – Kenins10:03
xG 0.25–0.30 (45%)attempts 4–12goals 0–0
- Prust – Cracknell – Dorsett8:42
xG 0.10–0.17 (37%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Higgins – McCann11:08
xG 0.23–0.54 (30%)attempts 9–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Edler – Tanev16:18
xG 0.24–0.20 (54%)attempts 10–6goals 0–2
- Tanev – Hutton2:08
xG 0.00–0.03 (8%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Weber – Hutton12:23
xG 0.26–0.57 (31%)attempts 7–13goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).